Scoitel be they picts will vote aye in the preliminary and nay in the final. Just to create confusion. As far as Belfast its a question of the Troubles II. I am very tuned in and Aware of Ireland's issues. Right Now the Stormont is at the edge of collapse. The money that the Brits promised at the good Friday accords is being squandered and soon to be cut off. This is going to effectively dissolve any reason for Sein Fein to have a hold of IRA actions.
Britain is playing games this year they arrested Gerry Adams and they arrested the Loyalist Leader from the UDF at the same time. The UDF leader was arrested for a murder he committed 20 years ago. Gerry was arrested in connection with a murder in 72. When he was the Provisional Commander of the PIRA. So Gerry was more a political as he was covered under the good Friday accords.The UDF cat was not covered as his was a murder for money deal. UDF does the drugs and murder thing still. Very big money maker for them.
The PIRA/CIRA/RIRA/AIRA/TIRA did a stand down and a partial dis armament. The UDF did not.
Financially it will be a boon for the Picts as they can set their own import export rates for a change.