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Economic Report #161295
03/09/2018 06:04 AM
03/09/2018 06:04 AM
Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 20,023
A 059 Btn 16 FF MSC
ConSigCor Offline OP
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ConSigCor  Offline OP
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Posts: 20,023
A 059 Btn 16 FF MSC
Nonfarm payrolls increase by 313,000 in February vs. 200,000 est.

Nonfarm payrolls rose by 313,000 in February while the unemployment rate remained at 4.1 percent, the lowest since December 2000.
Wage growth was muted, however, with average hourly earnings up 2.6 percent on an annualized basis, 0.2 percentage points below expectations.
Stock market futures surged following the Bureau of Labor Statistics report.

Jeff Cox | @JeffCoxCNBCcom

The economy added 313,000 jobs in February, crushing expectations, while the unemployment rate remained at 4.1 percent, according to a Labor Department report Friday that could help quell inflation fears.

Economists surveyed by Reuters had been expecting nonfarm payroll growth of 200,000 and the unemployment rate to decline one-tenth of a percent to 4 percent.

An increase in the labor force participation rate to its highest level since September 2017 helped keep the headline unemployment number steady, as the number of those counted as not in the workforce tumbled by 653,000 to just over 95 million.

The total counted as "employed" in the household survey surged by 785,000 to a record 155.2 million.

A separate measure that takes into account those out of the workforce and the underemployed — sometimes referred to as the "real" unemployment rate — held steady at 8.2 percent.

Stocks surged following the report, with the Dow industrials opening more than 150 points higher after being slightly negative before the news.

"The underlying economic growth is quite strong, but there's no real pressures from a wages and inflation standpoint," said Greg Peters, senior investment officer at PGIM Fixed Income. "It's very good for risk assets."

Construction jobs led the way, with 61,000 new positions, followed by retail and professional and business services (50,000 apiece), manufacturing (31,000) and financial activities (28,000). Health care added 19,000 while mining saw 9,000 new jobs.

"The jobs streak remains intact, and it's punctuating what has been a tremendous start to the year," said Mike Loewengart, vice president of investment strategy at E*Trade.

Investors were watching the report closely not only for clues about job growth but also whether wage pressures were continuing to build. Wage growth came in less than expected, rising 0.1 percent for the month and 2.6 percent on an annualized basis.

The average work week rose by 0.1 hours to 34.5 hours.

The surge in job creation coming without an accompanying rise in wage pressures fits in well with the Wall Street hopes of a "Goldilocks" economy.

"The labor market tightens but wage growth moderated. Good news for both sides of the street, Main Street and Wall Street," said Quincy Krosby, chief market strategist at Prudential Financial.

In addition to the big job growth, previous months' counts were revised substantially higher. December went from 160,000 to 175,000 while January saw a boost from the initially reported 200,000 to 239,000. That brings the three-month average to 242,000.

The February report was the biggest beat against expectations since December 2009, according to Bespoke Investment Group.

Stocks sold off aggressively a month ago after January's payrolls report showed average hourly earnings rose 2.8 percent annually, the biggest gain since June 2009.

Multiple Federal Reserve officials have said recently they see the jobs market at or even beyond full employment. The unemployment rate was last this low in December 2000. However, sustained wage growth has been absent, keeping the Fed on a pace of consistent but gradual rate hikes.


Stocks Set to Jump After Report Indicates Strongest Job Market In Two Decades

Explosive jobs numbers fuel surge on Wall Street
MarketWatch - March 9, 2018

U.S. stock futures climbed firmly higher Friday morning after the jobs report for February came in better than forecast.

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures YMM8, +0.69% rose 151 points, or 0.6%, to 25,072, while those for the S&P 500 futures ESM8, +0.59% advanced 14 points, or 0.5%, at 2,759, while Nasdaq-100 futures NQM8, +0.74% rose 46 points, or 0.7%, to 7,048.50.

The U.S. created 313,000 new jobs in February, the biggest gain since mid-2016 and a reflection of the strongest labor market in two decades. Economists polled by MarketWatch had predicted a 222,000 increase in nonfarm jobs. The unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.1%. Hourly pay rose 4 cents, or 0.1%, to $26.75 an hour, the government said Friday.


U.S. Household Net Worth Pushes Further Into Record Territory

Household wealth rose more than $2 trillion in the fourth quarter with help from rising stock and home prices

By Harriet Torry

Americans’ wealth pushed further into record territory in the final quarter of last year, hitting nearly $100 trillion thanks to rising stock markets and property prices.

Household net worth—the value of all assets such as stocks and real estate minus liabilities like mortgage and credit-card debt—rose more than $2 trillion last quarter to a record $98.746 trillion.

The ratio of wealth to income is “at pretty dizzying levels right now,” JPMorgan Chase economist Michael Feroli said.


"The time for war has not yet come, but it will come and that soon, and when it does come, my advice is to draw the sword and throw away the scabbard." Gen. T.J. Jackson, March 1861
Re: Economic Report #161296
03/09/2018 08:06 AM
03/09/2018 08:06 AM
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 26,044
Tulsa
airforce Online content
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airforce  Online Content
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Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 26,044
Tulsa
Before every bust there is a boom.

California, Illinois,and other states are still lurching towards bankruptcy, even while they pass more minimum wage laws and spend money like drunken sailors on a three-day leave. The tax cuts are helping the economy, but that will be abated by new tariffs. We're $20 trillion in debt, the student loan bust has yet to hit, and rising interest rates will put more than a few industries - especially all those "green energy" companies - into bankruptcy.

Tax cuts are great, but you have to cut spending too. And you can't do that unless you cut defense spending and entitlements, which neither Trump nor anyone else in Washington is willing to do.

The bust is looming. And when it comes, it won't be pretty.

Onward and upward,
airforce

Re: Economic Report #161297
03/09/2018 10:19 AM
03/09/2018 10:19 AM
Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 20,023
A 059 Btn 16 FF MSC
ConSigCor Offline OP
Senior Member
ConSigCor  Offline OP
Senior Member
Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 20,023
A 059 Btn 16 FF MSC
Ron Paul couldn't fix the economic mess caused by decades of globalist policies. Trump will not be able to either. And politician of both parties, at every level from local to national will NEVER stop spending like a drunken sailor in a whorehouse.

The only way to stop it is for the people to engage in a massive tax revolt.


"The time for war has not yet come, but it will come and that soon, and when it does come, my advice is to draw the sword and throw away the scabbard." Gen. T.J. Jackson, March 1861

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