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Should We Intervene in Iran? #182908
01/12/2026 06:55 PM
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By all accounts, Trump is seriously weighing the options. Nioh Berg and others on the ground say yes.

I'm skeptical of any involvement in the affairs of other nations, we should not be the world's policeman. But the theocracy in Iran is so vile, so evil, that if we can get rid of it, it would be worth the cost.



Quote
From the Starlink messages I have gotten, the people inside Iran have reached a point of acceptance.

Meaning, they know what the stakes are, and they have lost their fear of death. This will not simply die down like the regime expects. There's no going back anymore.

Iranians also fight with a level of expectation that outside help will arrive, and they understand the need to keep up the pressure no matter how impossible the odds. But the longer this takes, the bloodier it gets. If no intervention happens, or if the intervention is too weak, a regime inflicted bloodbath will follow.

If Donald J Trump wants to be a President of Peace, aiding in decapitating this rotten barbarian dictatorship fast will prevent far more bloodshed than having unarmed Iranians fight their way out of a slaughterhouse for who knows how long.

I repeat: The bloodshed which happens by allowing Khamenei to limp on will FAR outweigh the alternative.

This is the time. No more negotiating. No more deals. No more talks. No more Araghchi and Witkoff meetings.

The time is now.


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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182909
01/12/2026 07:18 PM
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Last edited by airforce; 01/12/2026 07:33 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182910
01/12/2026 07:37 PM
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More from Nioh Berg:

Quote
Really disturbing Starlink message:

"I have news from someone in Dezful - the city is under siege by Hashd ash-Shaabi (Iraqi terrorist militia).

They are beastly mercenaries with covered faces who can’t understand Persian and only speak Arabic.

The whole city is on curfew and there's an atmosphere of terror and dread everywhere.

Snipers are positioned on taller buildings in the last few days, head shotting people at random.

They have no mercy and don’t discriminate between children, teenagers or the elderly.

Anyone leaving the house risks be shot by snipers or killed by mercenaries on the ground.

It’s very likely that the situation is similar in other cities in Khuzestan Province.

They are getting massacred in total silence (no news coverage) and isolation.

Please speak up for Dezful and other smaller cities."






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Last edited by airforce; 01/12/2026 09:14 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182911
01/13/2026 11:23 AM
01/13/2026 11:23 AM
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Perhaps. But not one single American's foot on the ground.


Emergency Medicine - saving the world from themselves, one at a time.

"Thou shalt not be a victim, thou shalt not be a perpetrator, but, above all, thou shalt not be a bystander."

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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182913
01/13/2026 05:37 PM
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A friend just pointed out the fastest way to discredit a movement is to have Trump support it. That may be true, but if it saves a few lives, I don't care. We agreed to disagree, like gentlemen do.

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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182915
01/13/2026 07:01 PM
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Quote
I was listening to a retired U.S. Army officer's interview on the radio, and I wish I could have recorded it and shared it here.

In response to the question of what day and time we can expect this attack to occur, he said that this operation could be the most complex military operation in the history of the United States, in no way comparable to the previous attack on nuclear facilities or operations on Venezuelan soil, and that numerous factors must be carefully calculated and examined.

My takeaway was this:
1. The U.S. is certainly aware of Khamenei's exact location, but very likely, contrary to expectations, he has hidden in a place where a large population of the Iranian people serves as his human shield.
2. This operation must proceed in such a way that no harm comes to the lives or property of ordinary people.
3. It is not a ground operation but an air one, and this makes the situation far more complex.

All of us Iranians, this time alongside many people around the world, including Americans themselves! are waiting for the moment when the attack on the regime is announced, but friends, believe me, lashing out at the Trump team's accounts really doesn't move anything forward.

Americans on Twitter and elsewhere are saying to pray for the American soldiers in the upcoming operation, so that they return successfully and safely. It's better if we join them, thank them for standing with the freedom-loving people of Iran, and make them even more aware of the extent of Khamenei's crimes and the danger that the regime's continued existence poses—and has posed—to the global community.



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Last edited by airforce; 01/13/2026 07:04 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182916
01/14/2026 10:33 AM
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This will not end well.


"The time for war has not yet come, but it will come and that soon, and when it does come, my advice is to draw the sword and throw away the scabbard." Gen. T.J. Jackson, March 1861
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182918
01/14/2026 04:05 PM
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A carrier and a destroyer both with the same name? Do we have a shortage of ex-presidents and war heroes?

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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182920
01/14/2026 04:50 PM
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Well, if true, this is a promising development. Maybe the mullahs have finally realized their time is almost up.



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Last edited by airforce; 01/14/2026 04:50 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182921
01/14/2026 04:57 PM
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Last I heard they claimed they were going to assassinate Trump. Supposidly, the bombers are ready to strike in a matter of hours. Who knows what's really happening.


"The time for war has not yet come, but it will come and that soon, and when it does come, my advice is to draw the sword and throw away the scabbard." Gen. T.J. Jackson, March 1861
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182922
01/14/2026 05:13 PM
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Yes, there's so much conflicting info coming out of Iran. It's hard to figure out what's really happening. Elon Musk and Starlink helps, but even that has limits.

Case in point:



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Last edited by airforce; 01/14/2026 05:23 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182925
01/14/2026 07:30 PM
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Ordinarily I don't post something here without confirmation, but I'm seeing a TON of reports like this. Something seems to be going on.





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Last edited by airforce; 01/14/2026 08:12 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182926
01/15/2026 11:30 AM
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The USS Theodore Roosevelt (CGN-71) is named for Theodore Roosevelt, the 26th President of the US.

The USS Roosevelt (DDG-80), an Raleigh Burke class destroyer, is named for President and Mrs. Franklin Roosevelt, the 32nd President of the US. I guess naming a ship for a successful wartime President is OK, but his wife?


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"Thou shalt not be a victim, thou shalt not be a perpetrator, but, above all, thou shalt not be a bystander."

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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182927
01/15/2026 11:44 AM
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Duh. I forgot there were two President Roosevelts. Old age sucks.

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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182929
01/15/2026 03:41 PM
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Why hasn't Trump gone into Iran yet? I'm thinking he realizes he doesn't have to - Iran seems to be imploding all by itself (with a little help from sanctions, to be fair).But a lot of people disagree with my assessment of the situation:



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Last edited by airforce; 01/15/2026 04:14 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182934
01/17/2026 04:43 PM
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182937
01/17/2026 05:21 PM
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How much of this is verifiable? With the internet shut down and only spotty Starlink, pretty much none of it.



Quote
I have more reports from Tehran as well as Southern Iran.

• People are trapped in their homes almost all day.

• They're allowed a small window to go outside to buy essential household items. Groups of foreign terrorists escort them to shops.

• These terrorists observe their every movement and listen to their every word. If anyone steps out of line or says something "wrong", they get shot.

• Each shop also has a heavy regime presence. They are everywhere.

• The regime is blasting loud Arabic, Shia islamic chants throughout neighbourhoods.

• Patrols make sure people don't even look out of their own windows at nighttime.

• If you are giving birth, you can't go to any hospital. You must arrange for someone to visit your home instead to give birth in your home.

• The closest comparison is now Handmaid's Tale, but real life and not fictional.

• It's a state of actual foreign occupation. There are more Afghan and Arab mercenaries than there are local IRGC forces. The mullahs imported thousands of non-Iranian islamic terrorists because they would have lost control otherwise.

• There is an actual genocide happening, not in the fake Gaza sense but literal mass murder in the darkness, on a scale and speed barely ever seen since WW2.

• The death toll reports I'm getting are over 50,000 so far. In a country of 90 million, everyone knows at least one or more loved ones who've been murdered. This number is rising rapidly, and will probably skyrocket again when the internet returns

• Iran is now a concentration camp containing 90 million hostages.




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Last edited by airforce; 01/17/2026 05:25 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182938
01/18/2026 01:38 AM
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We should've taken out the trash 45 years ago.


"The time for war has not yet come, but it will come and that soon, and when it does come, my advice is to draw the sword and throw away the scabbard." Gen. T.J. Jackson, March 1861
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182939
01/18/2026 12:02 PM
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Yep. It sure would have prevented a few problems.

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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182940
01/18/2026 05:20 PM
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There. I said it.



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Last edited by airforce; 01/18/2026 05:52 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182954
01/23/2026 03:51 PM
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182976
01/26/2026 12:36 AM
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It looks like the pieces are all coming together.









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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182997
01/28/2026 06:40 PM
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #182998
01/28/2026 08:03 PM
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The RC-135V Rivet Joint aircraft specializes in signals intelligence. It looks like everything is now in place.



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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183001
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183005
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183013
01/30/2026 06:40 PM
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183016
01/31/2026 05:11 PM
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Last edited by airforce; 01/31/2026 05:36 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183019
01/31/2026 06:45 PM
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Quote
I don't believe Mossad was involved in the Bandar Abbas bombing.

Mossad bombings are precise and target single apartments/rooms. This one is more messy and did widespread damage. There are also no gas pipes which could explain what happened as any kind of accident.

This is likely an IRGC building used to host regime thugs. All furniture and even the curtains are identical. There's barbed wire and security outside. This was no residential building. Only the enemy lives here.

Further, we have "Long Live the Shah" written outside around the time of the bombing.

I strongly believe an Iranian monarchist militia is taking revenge for the massacres. Not only that - they have gotten access to explosives and morr advances weaponry.

Combine this with mass doxxing of basijis and IRGC terrorists, and you're looking at a real insurgency.

Javid Shah.


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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183022
01/31/2026 09:01 PM
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Here is the translation:

Quote
This mercenary named Ali_Rostami_Elmoti is one of Khamenei's hitmen who actively participated in the Dey Massacre in Qazvin.
His cover job is taxi driver, working the Qazvin to Najafabad village route, and he himself resides in that village.

One of the kids took a photo of his taxi's license plate for identification and to say hello


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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183027
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183033
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183043
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183053
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Quote
Reza Pahlavi
@PahlaviReza
·
3h
Translated from Persian
To my brave compatriots in Iran,

Our magnificent national revolution, the Lion and Sun Revolution, is an unparalleled epic of unity, empathy, and national solidarity. Despite the Islamic Republic and its allies’ efforts to sow division and distraction, you have remained vigilant and patriotic, raising one unified voice across every corner of Iran, declaring that we are one great and united nation under one flag. You have shown that regardless of which city or province of Iran we come from, what dialect or language we speak, what religion or belief we hold or do not hold—we are all Iranians, and we are determined to reclaim our beloved homeland.

You have courageously stood in the streets across all of Iran—I emphasize: all of Iran—under a hail of bullets, declaring what you do not want and shouting what you do want.
Your bravery has shaken the foundations of this occupying regime. Your voice has awakened the world. Your sacrifice and selflessness will not be in vain. Iran will be free.

And to all those who wish to join us on this path, I say: Hear the voice of the great and united nation of Iran. The embrace of the Lion and Sun Revolution is open to those who accept these four principles:
- Preservation of Iran’s territorial integrity
- Individual freedoms and equality of all citizens before the law
- Secular democracy based on the separation of religion and state
- The right of the people to freely choose the form of government

Once again, I honor with deep respect, sorrow, and profound anger the eternal memory of our brave fallen—women and men who gave their lives for the homeland. Their families and loved ones should rest assured that the trial and punishment of those who ordered and carried out these massacres, and the delivery of justice, is certain and inevitable.

Today, as we stand more united than ever before and closer to freedom and democracy, I promise you with all my being that I will protect your trust and unity. Together, we will take Iran back and rebuild it once more.

Long live Iran,
Reza Pahlavi


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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183057
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183058
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183060
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183061
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Last edited by airforce; 02/06/2026 08:59 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183077
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183107
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[url=https://reason.com/2026/02/19/war-with-iran-2/]War is looking closer and closer.[/urll]

Quote
The storm clouds of war are growing increasingly thick over the Middle East, as the U.S. military masses a huge amount of planes and ships for what looks like an increasingly likely attack on Iran.

Both The New York Times and CNN reported yesterday that the U.S. would be ready to hit Iran by the weekend, but President Donald Trump hasn't made a final decision on whether to go through with a strike or not.

Dozens of refueling tankers have been deployed to the region, as have 50 fighter jets and two aircraft carrier strike groups, reports the Times.

During the first Trump administration, the U.S. periodically deployed additional forces to the region as a show of force against Iran without ever attacking the country. Military analysts report that this time appears different.

Defense news site The War Zone notes that most of the U.S.' few battle-ready E-3 Airborne Warning and Control System (AWACS) planes, which are used to control airspace in combat situations, are either staging in Europe or already in the Middle East.

Not good, Bob.

A situation to monitor or nothing happens? For the time being, the White House is still talking like it wants to keep talking.

Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner met with Iranians in Switzerland, Reason's Matthew Petti noted yesterday. Iranian officials were quick to say those talks went well.

White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt also said that "the president has always been very clear, though, with respect to Iran or any country around the world, diplomacy is always his first option, and Iran would be very wise to make a deal."

Nevertheless, Petti notes that Secretary of State Marco Rubio dismissed the idea that diplomacy was feasible with the Iranian regime in his remarks at the Munich Security Conference on Monday.

Similar to the recent intervention in Venezuela that led to the capture of dictator Nicolás Maduro, the White House isn't even bothering to consult Congress about a war with Iran or even to make a propagandistic case to the American people that a new Middle Eastern conflict is a good idea.

Doing that would be a little too small-r Republican for this administration.

More worrisome still is the fact that Trump administration officials are increasingly talking like pre-Iraq War Bush administration officials.

Petti again:

Quote
Two officials told Reuters that they are planning for weeks of large-scale warfare. Trump told reporters last week that regime change in Iran "would be the best thing that could happen." Kushner believes that the Middle East "is a liquid and the ability to reshape is unlimited," as he wrote in September 2024.

That rhetoric is exactly how the Bush administration and its supporters sounded on the eve of the Iraq War. Not to worry, though. The Trump administration knows that it's better than the last people who got struck down for their hubris.

"I empathize with Americans who are exhausted after 25 years of foreign entanglements in the Middle East," Vance told NBC News in his June 2025 interview. "I understand the concern, but the difference is that back then we had dumb presidents and now we have a president who actually knows how to accomplish America's national security objectives."


Who knows. Maybe this time, everything will work out just fine.


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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183109
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And now for something completely different...



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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183112
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183126
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183127
02/21/2026 01:21 AM
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I'm watching all the noise. It always gets loud before it goes hot.


"The time for war has not yet come, but it will come and that soon, and when it does come, my advice is to draw the sword and throw away the scabbard." Gen. T.J. Jackson, March 1861
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183139
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183150
02/26/2026 01:02 PM
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Anonymous quote floating around the internet. I don't know where it originated.

Quote
"There's thinking in and around the administration that the politics are a lot better if the Israelis go first and alone and the Iranians retaliate against us, and give us more reason to take action."


Meanwhile, there's a War Powers Resolution in Congress, but Democrats won't vote on it. I'll leave you to wonder why.

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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183152
02/27/2026 04:27 PM
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At 10:24 this morning, Friday February 27, the United States Ambassador to Israel emailed his own staff and told them to leave the country today.

Not next week. Not when convenient. Today.

Mike Huckabee, the man Donald Trump personally appointed to represent America in Israel, sent an email to every embassy employee in Jerusalem telling them that anyone wishing to depart should book “any available flight” and leave Israeli soil before the day ends. The embassy has shifted to “authorized departure” status, meaning the US government will pay for nonessential personnel and their families to evacuate. The New York Times obtained the email. The timestamp is 10:24 AM local time. The language says “no need to panic.” The action says panic.

When an ambassador tells his own people to leave the country he is assigned to, he is not managing risk. He is clearing the blast radius.

Authorized departure is the second-to-last step on the State Department’s crisis escalation ladder. The only step above it is ordered departure, which is mandatory evacuation. The United States has not reached ordered departure. But at 10:24 this morning it reached the step directly below it, and the ambassador personally urged speed.

Now hold this against what happened in the last 72 hours.

Wednesday, Geneva. Six and a half hours of talks. Araghchi called it the most serious session yet. The Wall Street Journal reported the US and Iran remain far apart on every core issue. Iran refused permanent zero enrichment. America refused anything less.

Thursday, 37 advanced combat aircraft landed at RAF Lakenheath in a single day. 12 F-35As. 14 F-15E Strike Eagles. Additional F-22s. The staging base that funneled the first wave of Raptors to Israel is now reloading with strike aircraft carrying 23,000 pounds of ordnance each.

Friday morning, the ambassador tells his people to leave.

Wednesday you negotiate. Thursday you reload. Friday you evacuate your own embassy.

That is not a sequence of unrelated events. That is a countdown visible to anyone reading the timestamps.

Huckabee’s email went out five hours ago. Tomorrow, Saturday February 28, Oman’s Foreign Minister meets Vice President Vance in Washington carrying Tehran’s response to Geneva. Technical talks are nominally scheduled for Vienna next week. But you do not tell your embassy staff to leave today if you believe next week’s talks will happen in a world that looks like this one.

The email says “make plans sooner rather than later.” Ambassadors are trained to communicate in precise diplomatic language where every word is calibrated. “Sooner rather than later” from a political appointee who does not speak in euphemism means the window for safe commercial departure is closing and he knows approximately when it closes.

India told its citizens to leave Iran. Germany told citizens in Israel to prepare for airspace closures. Beirut’s US embassy began evacuating. And now America’s own ambassador in Jerusalem is telling his own staff to get out of the country he represents.

Everyone with classified briefing access is moving in the same direction. Toward the exit.

Today. Not Monday. Not after Vienna. Today, Friday February 27.

The people who know what is coming are not waiting to find out. They are already on planes.

The only people still debating whether this is real are the ones without the clearance to read what Huckabee read before he typed that email at 10:24 am this morning.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans


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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183153
02/27/2026 10:05 PM
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"The time for war has not yet come, but it will come and that soon, and when it does come, my advice is to draw the sword and throw away the scabbard." Gen. T.J. Jackson, March 1861
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183154
02/28/2026 12:40 AM
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Quote
Over the last couple of hours, at least 11 C-17A Globemaster llls and a C-5M Super Galaxy have departed bases in the Middle East returning to Europe, with, for the first time in several weeks, no military cargo flights currently bound for the Middle East from airbases in Europe. This follows a message seen earlier today over ACARS (Aircraft Communications Addressing and Reporting System) from the U.S. Air Force’s Tanker Airlift Control Center (TACC) located at Scott Air Force Base, Illinois, directed at several C-17s heading to King Abdullah II Air Base in Jordan and other locations in the Middle East, which stated “PLEASE MINIMIZE GND TIME. I CANNOT PASS ANYMORE INFO AT THIS TIME.”


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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183156
02/28/2026 01:10 PM
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Boy, this would sure be a damn shame, wouldn't it?



Quote
Israeli Channel 12 is reporting, citing unnamed intelligence sources, growing indications that Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in this morning’s strikes.

Not injured. Not relocated. Killed.

The assessment is not based on satellite imagery. It is based on human intelligence sources inside the Iranian regime. The same sources that told Israel when the leadership gathering would happen. The same sources that provided the timing for an 8:15 a.m. daylight strike that broke every pattern of every Israeli operation against Iran in history. Israel did not bomb a building and hope. Israel struck a specific room at a specific time because someone inside that room’s security perimeter told them exactly when to strike.

Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi responded with five words: “still alive as far as I know.” That is not a denial. That is a man who does not have contact with his own Supreme Leader and is hedging in real time on live television. A foreign minister with confirmed communication to his head of state says “he is alive.” A foreign minister who has lost contact says “as far as I know.”

Israel has also announced that a promised Khamenei speech to the nation, if it airs at all, will have been prerecorded. Think about what that means. Israeli intelligence is confident enough in the assessment to publicly predict that any proof of life will be fabricated. They are not waiting for confirmation. They are preemptively discrediting the denial.

No Iranian state media outlet has shown Khamenei. No IRGC commander has issued a statement confirming contact with the Supreme Leader. No proof-of-life video has surfaced. Iran launched retaliatory missiles at six countries within hours of the strikes. That requires no supreme leader. That requires standing orders and panicked generals. What requires a supreme leader is what comes next: the decision to escalate to total war, activate Hormuz, or negotiate. That decision has no visible author tonight.

Khamenei has ruled Iran for 35 years. He succeeded Khomeini. He built the nuclear program. He funded Hezbollah, Hamas, the Houthis, and the Iraqi militias. He outlasted eight American presidents. The entire architecture of the Islamic Republic, its theology, its military doctrine, its succession protocols, flows through one 86-year-old man who has not been seen or heard from since 8:15 this morning.

If he is alive, one video ends this speculation in seconds.

The silence is the story.


Maybe he should have hopped on that flight to Moscow when he had a chance. Oh well.

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Last edited by airforce; 02/28/2026 01:11 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183157
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Last edited by airforce; 02/28/2026 01:17 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183158
02/28/2026 01:23 PM
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Israel didn't bomb Iran. They bombed Iran's leaders.



Quote
They did not bomb Iran. They waited for Iran’s entire leadership to sit down in the same room and then they bombed Iran.

Months of intelligence. Thousands of hours of surveillance and signal intercepts. One variable: the moment the Supreme Leader, the President, and senior military command gathered in a single location at the same time.

That moment was 8:15 this morning. Daylight. Every previous Israeli strike on Iran came at night. June 2025 launched in darkness. October 2024 after midnight. Iran’s entire air defense doctrine is built around the assumption that Israel attacks in the dark. Israel attacked in broad daylight because the target was not infrastructure. The target was a meeting.

Reuters confirms strikes targeted Khamenei and Pezeshkian. CNN confirms months of joint US-Israeli planning. Israeli officials confirmed the strike hit the location where Iran’s top officials were gathered. Whether Khamenei was moved before the strike or extracted after is the most consequential unknown on the planet right now. If before, someone inside Tehran’s inner circle told Jerusalem when and where the meeting would happen. If after, the strikes hit the room and he survived. Both scenarios are catastrophic for the regime.

Because Iran’s leadership now knows three things. Israel knew where they were meeting. Israel knew when they were meeting. Israel knew who would be in the room. And everything we watched over the past month, the F-22s at Ovda, the tankers at Ben Gurion, Al Udeid emptied to zero, 270 transport flights, all of it was the delivery architecture for one precision strike on one gathering.

Every future meeting of Iran’s senior leadership now carries one question: does Israel know about this one too.

This is not a military operation. This is the destruction of institutional trust inside a regime. Every general who sits with Khamenei tomorrow will wonder who told Jerusalem about today. Every IRGC commander who receives a meeting summons will calculate whether attendance is duty or a death sentence. Every secure facility in Tehran has been proven insecure.

In June 2025 Israel killed 30 generals in the opening minutes. That was brute force across dispersed targets. This was a scalpel. One meeting. One moment. Months of patience.

Iran fired missiles at six countries in retaliation. Most intercepted. One civilian dead from debris in Abu Dhabi. Saudi Arabia responded by pledging all its capabilities against Iran. The Gulf coalition that did not exist yesterday exists today because Tehran built it by attacking everyone simultaneously.

Israel traded one morning of precision strikes for the permanent destruction of Iran’s command cohesion.

That is not a battle. That is checkmate disguised as a first move.


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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183159
02/28/2026 01:32 PM
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Here is the legal basis for our strike on Iran.



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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183160
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183161
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Last edited by airforce; 02/28/2026 06:12 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183162
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183163
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And sometimes, rarely, it does.



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Last edited by airforce; 02/28/2026 07:40 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183164
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Is he dead, or isn't he?





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Last edited by airforce; 02/28/2026 08:33 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183165
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183166
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183167
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183170
03/01/2026 03:26 PM
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This was worth a chuckle.





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Last edited by airforce; 03/01/2026 04:43 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183175
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Last edited by airforce; 03/02/2026 12:35 AM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183176
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From someone inside Tehran:



Translation:

Quote
After hours of outage, I’ve barely managed to connect to the internet, and it’ll probably cut out again; Tehran is under the most intense bombardment in history, and they’ve struck all the repression centers—even the police stations. The process of weakening the regime’s killer military forces has been extremely rapid, and in all Tehran neighborhoods, there’s practically no significant force left.

According to local reports, many Basij and IRGC forces have fled out of fear of being killed, and only the extreme religious kids and regime-loyal board members are wailing in mosques and Husseiniyahs for Khamenei’s death, as if they’re determined to resist until the very moment of collapse.

"Labeik ya Mahdi" cars are abundantly visible at the doors of Husseiniyahs and mosques in the neighborhoods, and each one is an obvious target for the people.

Once again, our emphasis from Tehran is to tell the people: only come to the streets after the order is issued by His Majesty Reza Shah II.
Do not leave the city and prepare even more for the day of revenge.
The day of Iran’s freedom is near.
Long live Iran
#JavidShah


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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183178
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183180
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183181
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183183
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183186
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183192
03/04/2026 02:55 PM
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Speaking of fanatics...



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Last edited by airforce; 03/04/2026 02:56 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183193
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183194
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Quote
KURDISH FRONT OPERATIONAL REPORT

Iran Western Theater | March 4, 2026
A new axis may be opening in the war against the Islamic Republic.

While most attention remains on the air war between the United States, Israel, and Iran, Kurdish fighters may now be moving on the ground inside western Iran.

Several reports today claim Kurdish groups have launched cross-border attacks from Iraq into Iranian Kurdistan, with some outlets describing the beginning of a broader offensive. If accurate, this would represent the first meaningful ground front inside Iran since the current conflict began.

➡️What Is Being Reported

Multiple outlets today describe a rapidly evolving situation along the Iran–Iraq border.

Key elements reported:

• Kurdish fighters may have crossed from Iraqi Kurdistan into Iran.
• Kurdish groups say they are preparing or already conducting operations inside Iranian territory.
• Some claims suggest the city of Marivan may already be contested or abandoned by regime forces.

At the same time, reporting from several sources indicates Kurdish opposition militias have consulted with the United States about potential operations against Iranian security forces and requested intelligence, weapons, and training support.
Separate reporting claims U.S. intelligence agencies are exploring plans to arm Kurdish opposition forces to trigger an uprising against the regime.
None of these claims are fully confirmed yet. But the pattern is becoming difficult to ignore.

➡️➡️Why the Kurdish Front Matters

The Kurdish regions of western Iran are one of the regime’s most persistent internal pressure points. Several million Kurds live in Iran, concentrated in provinces along the Iraqi border. These areas have historically seen repeated cycles of protest and insurgency.

During the recent protests triggered by Mahsa Amini’s death, Kurdish cities were among the first places where demonstrations erupted and spread nationwide.

For Tehran, Kurdish unrest has always represented a dual threat: Internal instability among populations hostile to the regime, and Cross-border infiltration by armed Kurdish groups based in Iraq

If Kurdish fighters begin operating inside Iran in significant numbers, Tehran faces a serious operational problem.

➡️The Kurdish Forces Involved

The fighters being discussed are primarily Iranian Kurdish opposition groups operating from Iraq’s Kurdistan Region.

These groups include factions such as:

• Kurdistan Democratic Party of Iran (PDKI)
• Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK)
• PJAK and other Kurdish militant organizations

Many of these groups recently formed a political and military coalition designed to coordinate opposition to the Islamic Republic.

In recent statements, the coalition has urged Iranian soldiers stationed in Kurdish regions to defect from the regime and align with opposition forces.

That messaging suggests they are preparing for a broader confrontation if the regime weakens.

➡️Tehran’s Immediate Problem
If Kurdish fighters establish even limited footholds inside Iran’s western provinces, the regime faces several serious challenges.

First, it must divert IRGC and internal security units to contain the insurgency.

Second, Kurdish activity could encourage local unrest or protests, especially in areas already hostile to the regime.

Third, the geography strongly favors insurgents.

The Zagros Mountains along the Iran–Iraq border have historically been extremely difficult terrain for centralized control. That environment is ideal for guerrilla warfare.

➡️Between the Lines

There is a strategic logic emerging behind these developments. The air campaign weakens the regime’s military infrastructure. But internal insurgency pressures something else entirely.

If Kurdish regions begin slipping out of regime control while external strikes continue, Tehran’s problem stops being military losses and becomes regime stability. This is why the Kurdish angle matters. A regime under attack from the air can still survive. A regime facing simultaneous external pressure and internal rebellion becomes far more fragile.

➡️What To Watch Next

If this Kurdish front is real and not simply information warfare, several indicators should appear quickly:

• Sustained attacks on Iranian checkpoints and IRGC facilities
• Kurdish forces establishing positions inside Iranian territory
• Iranian missile or drone strikes against Kurdish bases in Iraq
• Calls for mass mobilization inside Iranian Kurdish cities

If these indicators appear together, it would signal that a genuine insurgent front has opened inside Iran.

➡️Bottom Line

Right now, the Kurdish situation remains fluid and partly unconfirmed. But the reporting emerging today suggests something potentially significant.

The air war may be the most visible part of the conflict.
But if Kurdish fighters are indeed moving across the border into Iran, then the Islamic Republic could suddenly find itself fighting two wars at once.

One in the skies. And one inside its own borders.


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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183196
03/05/2026 11:14 AM
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This guy says the U.S. will lose in Iran.



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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183200
03/05/2026 05:57 PM
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183204
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183206
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183207
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Last edited by airforce; 03/06/2026 04:45 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183208
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183209
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183210
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183211
03/06/2026 09:26 PM
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183212
03/06/2026 10:23 PM
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183214
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183218
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Last edited by airforce; 03/07/2026 05:37 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183235
03/08/2026 11:03 PM
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This is an interesting theory.



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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183236
03/08/2026 11:18 PM
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These guys were giving the Exact Coordinates of someone actively resisting the regime. What eh hell were they thinking?



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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183238
03/09/2026 08:06 PM
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Last edited by airforce; 03/09/2026 08:15 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183241
03/10/2026 11:23 AM
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Iran's richest oil region demands end to Islamic regime.

Quote
Khuzestan is Iran's most oil-rich and ethnically diverse province — and the Arabs there have finally had it up to here with the theocrats who run things in Tehran. Whoever they are today, that is.

In a daring new statement, the Khuzestan Arab Tribes Assembly this week calling for "a free, democratic, and federal Iran," and that they "firmly believe that the Islamic Republic's system has violated the rights of the people of Iran." ...

While Khuzestan borders Iraq and is roughly one-third Arab, the assembly called the province the "beating heart of Iran" and emphasized "the protection of Iran's territorial integrity and reject any separatist or divisive project that harms the homeland of Iran."

Quote
"We see ourselves in the transitional phase from the current repressive regime toward a free, democratic, and federal Iran. We can play a constructive role alongside other compatriots in building a prosperous and united Iran."


Khuzestan is Iran's most oil-rich and ethnically diverse province — and the Arabs there have finally had it up to here with the theocrats who run things in Tehran. Whoever they are today, that is.

In a daring new statement, the Khuzestan Arab Tribes Assembly this week calling for "a free, democratic, and federal Iran," and that they "firmly believe that the Islamic Republic's system has violated the rights of the people of Iran."

While Khuzestan borders Iraq and is roughly one-third Arab, the assembly called the province the "beating heart of Iran" and emphasized "the protection of Iran's territorial integrity and reject any separatist or divisive project that harms the homeland of Iran."

"We see ourselves in the transitional phase from the current repressive regime toward a free, democratic, and federal Iran. We can play a constructive role alongside other compatriots in building a prosperous and united Iran." ...


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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183243
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Great moments in Iranian propaganda, part 474,213.





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Last edited by airforce; 03/10/2026 07:14 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183244
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183250
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Last edited by airforce; 03/11/2026 09:09 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183252
03/11/2026 11:20 PM
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Quote
Quick war update from Tehran:

The IRGC held a meeting in a command center.

Israeli fighter jets RSVP’d.

Within seconds of identifying regime operatives inside the facility, the jets struck the building and eliminated everyone in it.

Problem solved.

Meanwhile dozens of Israeli aircraft conducted additional strike waves across Tehran and western Iran, hitting:

• IRGC Air Force command centers and situation rooms
• A command compound inside the IRGC’s Imam Hussein military university
• Ballistic missile storage and production facilities
• Sites used to target Israeli aircraft operating over Tehran

At the same time, Israel hit Internal Security and Basij bases along with a command center of the Iranian Ministry of Intelligence, the same organization responsible for spying on Iranian citizens and helping violently crush protests.

In other words:

The regime’s missile infrastructure, command network, and repression apparatus all took hits in the same round.

The campaign continues.

Tehran is learning that running a terror empire becomes difficult when your command centers keep disappearing.

Roar. 🦁




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Last edited by airforce; 03/11/2026 11:25 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183255
03/12/2026 11:04 AM
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Hmmm...





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Last edited by airforce; 03/12/2026 03:51 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183266
03/14/2026 04:28 PM
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On second thought, making Canada our 51st state might not be suck a good idea.



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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183268
03/14/2026 05:30 PM
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Want to make an easy $10 million? The State Department just wants a little information...

Quote
The State Department is offering a reward of up to $10 million for information that leads to locating 10 key regime leaders, including Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei.

Khamenei’s deputy chief of staff, Ali Asghar Hejazi, Iranian national security official Ali Larijani and Interior Minister Eskandar Momeni are also on the list.

"Got information on these Iranian terrorist leaders? Send us a tip. It could make you eligible for a reward and relocation," read the post on social media about the bounty.


On second thought, $10 million seems a little chintzy to me.

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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183277
03/15/2026 01:41 PM
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What if those Marines take Kharg Island?

Quote
U.S. Marines taking control of Kargh Island, from which Iran exports 90% of the oil products that dominate its economy, might not end the war altogether—there will still be outliers; Iran is a big place—but it would go a long way towards doing so.

It would virtually put the already-wobbling mullahs out of business and have myriad ramifications, from quickly lowering oil prices and inflation with it for the world, not to mention making Donald Trump a hero as we head into the November elections, thus driving the Democrats crazy.

No wonder many of them want Iran to win, covertly or overtly. For others, the self-described “liberals,” it must be more than a little disconcerting for them not to engage in full-throated condemnation of a regime led by sadistic misogynists who murder wounded protestors in their hospital beds. Supporting freedom was always their self-image.


Be that as it may, at this moment it looks as if it is full steam ahead, figuratively and literally, for the invasion of Kargh. The U.. S. force, featuring the USS Tripoli, left Japan March 14 and should reach the island by late March, just before President Trump is scheduled to meet with President Xi in Beijing. A squadron of F-35B Lightning IIs that are capable of vertical takeoffs will doubtless be in the vicinity sooner.

Having already been softened up by what was apparently a formidable bombing attack on their Kargh military defenses, it will be difficult for the Iranians, specifically the Revolutionary Guard Corps, which now seems fully in charge, to repel the Americans.
This will be even more true in two weeks as the U. S> and Israel appear to have total air superiority.

In the meantime, be prepared for all kinds of carping from the media and Democratic politicians, complaints that Trump is running an ad hoc war (is there any other kind?) or that he doesn’t have an endgame.

Oh, really? It would seem that taking over Iranian oil from the mullahs would be one helluva endgame because they would have no money to build nukes or much of anything else. Their own people might even rise up against them, although Mr. Trump seems to be a little skeptical about that, and with reason. Too many of the bravest of the brave, those willing to risk their lives to overthrow the sadistic theocracy, could have been shot, maimed, or have fled the country years ago. I met many of these people twenty years ago while running PJ Media in Los Angeles.

Still, there’s hope. Stay optimistic. Stay positive. Never quit. Never give up. We’re on God’s team....


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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183280
03/15/2026 03:52 PM
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183288
03/15/2026 07:09 PM
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I'm seeing more and more reports of defections from the regime's military, even from the IRGC. But it's impossible to verify, there are many propaganda posts on all sides.



Quote
IRGC Defection Wave Grows

Reports of desertions within the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and Iranian police are mounting. A source close to the IRGC told senior Iran analyst Dror Balazada @DBalazada
that the trend is expanding beyond isolated cases.

According to the source, defections are now being recorded in larger numbers in Isfahan and Tabriz, and not only among lower ranks.

Why the surge in exits?

Field units report a breakdown in communication with command centers in Tehran.

Many personnel feel they are being used as human shields while senior commanders remain sheltered underground.

Severe economic hardship: a cash shortage in Iran is leaving security members struggling to pay bills or even buy food.

The source warns that the growing unrest inside the security apparatus could signal deeper cracks within the Iranian regime. 🔥
Via: @c14israel




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Last edited by airforce; 03/15/2026 07:25 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183290
03/16/2026 11:13 AM
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What happened to Iran's advanced Chinese air defense? This might be a clue.



This is the problem with reverse engineering. It's one thing to steal blueprints from the U.S., but you still have to understand how they work.

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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183291
03/16/2026 01:27 PM
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Last edited by airforce; 03/16/2026 09:12 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183294
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I hope the protesters have a lot more weapons by then.

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Last edited by airforce; 03/16/2026 11:26 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183298
03/17/2026 07:02 PM
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Did the Iranian embassy in Copenhagen just defect?



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Last edited by airforce; 03/17/2026 07:21 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183301
03/18/2026 11:46 AM
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Some of those Mossad agents should get a raise.





Perhaps the most famous quote from General Curtis LeMay:

Quote
"If you kill enough of them, they stop fighting."


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Last edited by airforce; 03/18/2026 11:54 AM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183302
03/18/2026 04:24 PM
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Hands up, don't shoot!



Translation:

Quote
Pezeshkian disavows any responsibilities and says he is "without authority, completely cut off from the leadership structures, and there is no justification for targeting him."

Gulf State - Exclusive


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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183304
03/19/2026 12:18 PM
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Last edited by airforce; 03/19/2026 12:32 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183306
03/19/2026 03:22 PM
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Say what you want about Trump, sometimes he comes up with a doozy.



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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183309
03/19/2026 05:11 PM
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183310
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Last edited by airforce; 03/21/2026 12:03 AM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183318
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183322
03/22/2026 11:51 PM
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Last edited by airforce; 03/23/2026 04:28 PM.
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