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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183354
03/30/2026 11:42 PM
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183357
03/31/2026 11:25 AM
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Yes, people really are this stupid.



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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183358
03/31/2026 11:37 AM
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Quote
Channel 14 says it obtained an exchange among Iranian leaders:

President Pezeshkian: “I want to be involved in the negotiations with the U.S. Without a quick deal, our entire economy will collapse in 3 weeks.”

IRGC chief Vahidi: “That’s exactly why you can’t be involved. You’ll give up everything for a deal.”

After the call ended, the report says the Iranian president told his companions he feels like a ‘hostage’, “I’m unable to resign, I cannot make my own decisions, all I can do is read from a script I’m given”

Channel 14 concludes its report by saying that the IRGC is effectively running the country now.


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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183366
04/02/2026 11:09 AM
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183368
04/03/2026 12:01 AM
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Quote
To those speaking of iran's infrastructure being destroyed as a consequence of this war:

Let’s talk about your staggering hypocrisy.

When they set the Rasht market ablaze with our people trapped inside, your heart didn't bleed. You felt absolutely nothing for the innocent lives burning to ash. But now that a bridge in Karaj gets blown to pieces, suddenly you want to weep over "Iranian infrastructure"?

Let me tell you exactly what kind of bridge this was.

It was never meant for us. Not a single civilian has ever set foot on it. It wasn't even open to the public. It was a phantom structure, built for one reason and one reason only: to connect two IRGC military bases and serve as a direct, covert artery to an underground missile city. It was carved right behind the Azimiyeh mountains, stretching west toward Radar Mountain. God only knows what dark, malignant operations these terrorists are hiding in the tunnels beneath that rock.

In short: it was a pure military asset for an occupying terror syndicate.

So yes, when I saw the sky light up with that explosion, I cheered. I watched their concrete shatter, and I smiled. Because it meant only one thing: another massive, crippling blow to the terror machine of the Islamic Republic that holds my country hostage.

You can mourn the rubble of their military bases all you want. When this occupation is finally eradicated, we will build our own bridges.


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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183373
04/04/2026 07:35 PM
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183374
04/04/2026 08:08 PM
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I'm seeing multiple reports of this, but it's not yet confirmed by CENTCOM.



Still not confirmed, but this fellow is pretty reliable too.



Still no official confirmation, possibly due to ongoing battles in the area or to protect Iranians who were helping him (there are many different reports). For what it's worth, Grok (Musk's AI) is also saying he's been rescued.



UPDATE: Fox News is now reporting the WSO has been rescued, after a massive firefight with IRGC forces. HAPPY EASTER!

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Last edited by airforce; 04/04/2026 11:55 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183375
04/05/2026 01:01 PM
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Translation:

Quote
What happened in the rescue operation for the American pilots whose plane crashed inside Iranian territory is a military scandal by all measures, a military humiliation for the arrogant mullah regime, and it actually reveals the accuracy of Prince Turki Al-Faisal's description years ago that Iran is a paper tiger, a stuttering media speech, and propagandistic bluster from politically and militarily deranged leaderships psychologically shaken by the shock. Twice in a row in less than a week, an enemy military landing operation takes place on your soil and among your people, right in the face of your forces that have only succeeded in oppressing their poor people. American forces comb through Iranian land, killing any Iranian soldier who approaches the injured pilot's landing zones, scattering the bodies of your officers and soldiers by the dozens over the mountaintops, then securing their pilots, then safely transporting them out of Iran, and the rescue forces returning without a single injury among them—this is called military humiliation. This is a farce, by God.


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Last edited by airforce; 04/05/2026 01:04 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183380
04/06/2026 07:50 PM
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183391
04/07/2026 11:30 PM
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Last edited by airforce; 04/07/2026 11:34 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183407
04/11/2026 11:40 PM
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183411
04/13/2026 12:09 PM
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I apologize for the profanity here.



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Last edited by airforce; 04/13/2026 12:20 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183417
04/14/2026 07:50 PM
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183426
04/17/2026 02:43 PM
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UPDATE:



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Last edited by airforce; 04/17/2026 04:49 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183428
04/17/2026 05:55 PM
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Last edited by airforce; 04/17/2026 08:55 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183430
04/19/2026 05:12 PM
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We now have video of the Navy firing on the Iranian vessel:



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Last edited by airforce; 04/19/2026 11:14 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183431
04/19/2026 11:25 PM
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Ahman Vahidi and the IRGC appears to have control of the Iranian government, at least for now.



And for the X-less:

Quote
𝐈𝐑𝐆𝐂 𝐂𝐎𝐌𝐌𝐀𝐍𝐃𝐄𝐑 𝐀𝐇𝐌𝐀𝐃 𝐕𝐀𝐇𝐈𝐃𝐈 𝐇𝐀𝐒 𝐒𝐄𝐈𝐙𝐄𝐃 𝐂𝐎𝐍𝐓𝐑𝐎𝐋 𝐎𝐅 𝐈𝐑𝐀𝐍’𝐒 𝐌𝐈𝐋𝐈𝐓𝐀𝐑𝐘 𝐀𝐍𝐃 𝐏𝐎𝐋𝐈𝐓𝐈𝐂𝐀𝐋 𝐃𝐄𝐂𝐈𝐒𝐈𝐎𝐍-𝐌𝐀𝐊𝐈𝐍𝐆

The Institute for the Study of War reports that IRGC Commander Major General Ahmad Vahidi and his inner circle have 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐭 𝐥𝐞𝐚𝐬𝐭 𝐭𝐞𝐦𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐚𝐫𝐲 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐨𝐥 over not only Iran’s military response but its 𝐩𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐝𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧-𝐦𝐚𝐤𝐢𝐧𝐠 as well.

This confirms what the world watched in real time: Foreign Minister Araghchi announced the Strait was open, and 𝐕𝐚𝐡𝐢𝐝𝐢’𝐬 𝐈𝐑𝐆𝐂 𝐬𝐥𝐚𝐦𝐦𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐭 𝐬𝐡𝐮𝐭, fired on oil tankers, and called Araghchi an “idiot” on state media.

The diplomats have been sidelined. The IRGC is running the show. And 𝐕𝐚𝐡𝐢𝐝𝐢—𝐚 𝐦𝐚𝐧 𝐬𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐛𝐲 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐔𝐍 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐫𝐨𝐥𝐞 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝟏𝟗𝟗𝟒 𝐀𝐌𝐈𝐀 𝐛𝐨𝐦𝐛𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐢𝐧 𝐀𝐫𝐠𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐚—is now the one making calls on war and peace.

𝐈𝐫𝐚𝐧’𝐬 “𝐜𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐥𝐢𝐚𝐧” 𝐠𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐰𝐚𝐬 𝐚𝐥𝐰𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐚 𝐦𝐚𝐬𝐤. 𝐍𝐨𝐰 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐦𝐚𝐬𝐤 𝐢𝐬 𝐨𝐟𝐟—𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐚 𝐰𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐫𝐨𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐫𝐮𝐧𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐲.


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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183436
04/21/2026 11:34 AM
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183439
04/21/2026 04:34 PM
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183442
04/21/2026 07:10 PM
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I should caution, this has NOT been verified.



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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183449
04/22/2026 11:31 PM
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183488
04/30/2026 06:40 PM
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183498
05/02/2026 07:33 PM
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183513
05/07/2026 04:28 PM
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Oops...



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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183514
05/07/2026 06:44 PM
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183523
05/10/2026 01:15 PM
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And for the X-less (and really, why aren't you guys on X yet?):

Quote
The United States executed a brilliant military gambit that forced the Islamic Republic to expose parts of its hidden naval and missile network in the Persian Gulf.

As Sun Tzu wrote: “Offer the enemy a bait to lure him; feign disorder and strike him.”

That is exactly what appears to have happened in the Strait of Hormuz.

The three U.S. Arleigh Burke-class destroyers involved in the May 7 confrontation, USS Truxtun, USS Rafael Peralta, and USS Mason, were not simply transiting the Strait of Hormuz.

They were positioned as highly visible targets designed to provoke an Iranian response.

Iran’s IRGC took the bait.

Its so-called “mosquito fleet” doctrine relies on swarms of fast attack boats, drones, coastal missile launches, and asymmetric harassment tactics launched from concealed positions along the Persian Gulf coastline and nearby islands.

The destroyers looked vulnerable. They were not.

The moment the attack began, U.S. ISR assets, including radar aircraft, drones, satellites, and naval systems, traced launch signatures and identified attack vectors in real time.

That allowed the U.S. military to rapidly expose and target parts of Iran’s hidden launch infrastructure connected to the assault.

Reported targets included:

⚪️ IRGC-linked positions on Qeshm Island, Bandar Abbas, Bandar Khamir, and Sirik
⚪️ Coastal missile launch infrastructure
⚪️ Drone and fast attack boat staging sites
⚪️ Mine-laying vessels
⚪️ Weapons storage and logistics facilities

No U.S. destroyers were hit.

The broader significance is that Iran’s asymmetric naval doctrine was temporarily turned against itself.

For years, the Islamic Republic relied on concealment, deniability, underground infrastructure, dispersed launch systems, and swarm tactics designed to complicate retaliation and avoid direct conventional confrontation.

Instead, the attack exposed elements of that network in real time and allowed the U.S. to rapidly strike supporting infrastructure behind it without a prolonged escalation cycle.

This is modern military strategy at its most effective: force the enemy to reveal hidden systems through aggression, map operational networks instantly, and destroy critical nodes before they can reposition or disappear.

The Strait of Hormuz remains one of the world’s most strategically important maritime chokepoints, with roughly 20% of global oil flows moving through it.

By forcing Iran to expose key components of its coastal strike network, the U.S. not only defended its vessels but also dealt a significant blow to one of the Islamic Republic’s core asymmetric warfare capabilities in the Gulf.


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Last edited by airforce; 05/10/2026 01:15 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183526
05/10/2026 06:14 PM
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Last edited by airforce; 05/10/2026 06:19 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183570
05/22/2026 09:11 PM
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Last edited by airforce; 05/22/2026 09:22 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183571
05/22/2026 09:24 PM
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Last edited by airforce; 05/22/2026 09:28 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183572
05/23/2026 05:55 PM
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Not everyone agrees it's a good deal.



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Last edited by airforce; 05/23/2026 06:14 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183573
05/23/2026 06:18 PM
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Last edited by airforce; 05/23/2026 08:51 PM.
Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183574
05/23/2026 11:39 PM
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Here's another take on the "deal."



Quote
There is a lot of noise surrounding the potential US/Iran deal.

Here’s what the rumors are so far:

- Iran has agreed to give up its stockpile of highly enriched uranium. Iran currently has 400 kg of highly enriched uranium. Enough for 11 nuclear bombs.

- The US would begin a phased unfreezing of Iran’s $6b to $30b in cash.

- The Strait of Hormuz will open up.

- Iran won’t charge a penny for ships to pass through. No $2m toll fee.

- The US agrees to relieve some of the sanctions.

- War ENDS on all fronts with Lebanon.

- US forces near Iran to withdraw.

- 30 to 60 days to finalize the nuclear deal.

If true, that’s a massive victory for the President.

Here are the winners and losers.

Winners:

1. American people. Oil prices will likely fall. Shipping insurance costs drop. Inflation pressure eases.

2. The President

3. Global markets.

4. Stock market.

5. Gulf states. Temporary tension eliminated. I have them as both winners and losers.

6. IRGC gains legitimacy. They’re not Venezuela. Whether anyone likes it or not. Including myself.

7. China is a major winner. The Strait of Hormuz hurt them the most. They can spin this to their people that the deal got done after the President left China.

8. Russia relies on Iran being a bit more stable.

9. NATO nations were starting to worry. They were pansies shivering about having to help the US. (They’re also big losers in my eyes)

Losers:

1. Iranian people. No one knows what the IRGC will do after this deal to their own people. Their media outlets will say they beat America. That message will 100% be pushed. The Iranian people will be under even more scrutiny by the IRGC.

2. Obama’s administration. This sounds like a much stronger deal than Obama’s administration made.

3. Netanyahu. He wanted regime change or collapse for his legacy, but Trump wasn’t on the same page at the end.

4. NATO was exposed. They showed they don’t have America’s back if shit were to hit the fan. Terrible moment for them.

5. Reza Pahlavi. Another year of not being able to help his people become free. This point will lead to more memes by the RP loyalists but it’s the truth.

6. Gulf states. The IRGC still controls a neighbor capable of firing rockets at surrounding Gulf nations.

7. Iranian proxies and non state actors. Hezbollah, Houthis, and Shia militias will not receive the same funding flow if sanctions are removed under limitations tied to the agreement.

8. Defense contractors and war hawks. They wanted this thing to continue so they could land massive contracts. I’m sure they’re not happy.

9. Oil producers benefiting from high prices.

10. Political extremists on both sides. Those who wanted to see the President lose (woke right) and those pushing for nuclear war.

11. Democrats. They desperately needed this to continue heading into the midterms. They will HATE this deal. Don’t worry, they’ll still find a way to blame Trump. But independents won’t fall for the BS. Democrats and the woke right will follow suit, but not reasonable independents who can see through the nonsense.

I predicted this would be done before June 14th. Lots of people pushed back. Obviously, it’s not done yet, and anything can happen, especially when dealing with Iran, but if the President pulls this off, the news outlets, pundits, and influencers will move on to the next issue after they’re done crying nonstop.

The greatest 60 days of positive distractions are around the corner.

President Trump’s birthday: June 14th
US 250 year anniversary: July 4th
World Cup: June 11th to July 19th

The world will move on, and the President can focus on driving results toward the midterms, Cuba, affordability and other issues.

Love him or hate him, he continues to show how fluid his mind is and that he can change his approach depending on whether things do or don’t go his way.

Future Looks Bright.


I'm not sure I agree with everything he says, but it's worth looking at.

Onward and upward,
airforce

Re: Should We Intervene in Iran? [Re: airforce] #183599
05/31/2026 05:40 PM
05/31/2026 05:40 PM
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 26,227
Tulsa
airforce Offline OP
Administrator
airforce  Offline OP
Administrator
Senior Member
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 26,227
Tulsa


Onward and upward,
airforce

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