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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran?
[Re: airforce]
#183760
07/21/2026 09:33 PM
07/21/2026 09:33 PM
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Air defenses are firing across ALL of Tehran, west, east, and northeast, per Iran's own state broadcaster.
-IRIB reports "air defense activity was heard in the west, east, and northeast of Tehran," expanding the earlier Fars reports from one district to the whole capital
-No strikes on Tehran itself are confirmed, and CENTCOM's official night-eleven statement named no capital-area targets
-The guns firing city-wide without confirmed impacts fits a specific playbook: U.S. drones flown over the capital to force the air defenses to switch on and REVEAL their positions
-That tactic, flushing out radars for targeting in a later strike, is exactly how air campaigns prepare to enter defended airspace, and Washington has said the Tehran-area restraint "could change if full-scale operations resume"
If the drone-flush read is right, tonight's tracer fire over the capital is reconnaissance, not the attack itself: every battery that lights up gets mapped, and every mapped battery dies first when the real package comes.
Tehran's gunners face the trap built into the tactic, stay dark and leave the sky open, or fire and hand over their coordinates.
Source: CIG on TG, Al Jazeera / Writer: Daniel Does that old trick really still work? Onward and upward, airforce
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Re: Should We Intervene in Iran?
[Re: airforce]
#183770
07/24/2026 11:40 AM
07/24/2026 11:40 AM
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Matthew Bracken knows what he's talking about. But we don't have to invade iran alone, and certainly we don't have to hit their strongpoints. I'd give odds we're already in contact with resistance groups in iran, and most likely arming and training them - That's what green Berets do. Same thing with the Kurds in northwestern Iran.
I've already heard reports, certainly unconfirmed, about Kurds attacking Iranian checkpoints,and of Iranians in Tehran and elsewhere attacking Basij forces. I suspect these operations are continuing, very quietly with no one talking about them. If conventional American troops are used, it should be only for specific, limited targets. We're never going to occupy all of Iran.
The mullahs and the IRGC are literally fighting for their lives. No other country is going to welcome them, and they are under no illusions about what the Iranian people will do to them if they lose power.
The trick will be to turn the Iranian Army against the IRGC, and I think we're probably closer to that happening than most people think. Once we make it clear the bombing won't stop until the job is finished, I think the Iranians themselves will finish it.
Onward and upward,
airforce
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