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Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177665
03/06/2022 03:22 PM
03/06/2022 03:22 PM
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Here’s a story on the Chinese tires and poor Russian truck maintenance.

link to story

“When you leave military truck tires in one place for months on end. The side walls get rotted/brittle such that using low tire pressure setting for any appreciable distance will cause the tires to fail catastrophically via rips,” Telenko tweeted.

“Those aren't Soviet-era heavy truck radials. Chinese military tires, and I believe specifically the Yellow Sea YS20. This is a tire I first encountered in Somalia and Sudan; it's a bad Chinese copy of the excellent Michelin XZL military tire design,” academic Karl Muth responded to the Twitter thread. “Yes, all the things in the original thread are valid, but these Chinese tires simply don't have the load ratings needed for equipment like what's shown. They are poorly-constructed and barely-inspected truck radials. The equivalent Michelin product is inspected and x-rayed.”


"Government at its best is a necessary evil, and at its worst, an intolerable one."
 Thomas Paine (from "Common Sense" 1776)
Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177673
03/06/2022 10:15 PM
03/06/2022 10:15 PM
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Stupid commies. To keep tires in good condition on a vehicle that will sit for months put the vehicle on blocks without the tires touching the ground. They should use the stronger conventional bias ply tires instead of radials on trucks. The commies do make good AK rifles.


www.TexasMilitia.Info Seek out and join a lawful Militia or form one in your area. If you wish to remain Free you will have to fight for it...because the traitors will give us no choice in the matter--William Cooper
Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177678
03/07/2022 12:43 PM
03/07/2022 12:43 PM
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Russia's logistics disaster.

Quote
I’ve touched on some of the logistical difficulties Russia has experienced in its Ukrainian invasion. But this video goes into more detail about how Russia built up logistical support for the invasion, the importance of its rail systems, and how it hasn’t been able to keep up post-invasion.




Quote
[quote]Some takeaways:

1. Ukrainian forces destroyed all rail links between the two countries.

2. Russian forces are relying on analog, unsecured radio communications rather than scrambled digital channels, and Ukrainian forces are listening in and jamming.

3. Poor logistics also helped Soviet forces lose in Afghanistan.

4. Russia has 30,000 strong military rail organization.

5. “Russia doesn’t have enough trucks.” They can’t operate effectively more than 90 miles from supply dumps.

6. A large percentage of truck transport was dedicated to rocket resupply, not fuel and food.

7. Russia only had 3-5 days of supplies when they invaded. When those ran out, they were screwed.

8. Russia’s military works on a “push” logistic system rather than a “pull” system used by the U.S. military, mean it’s not very flexible.

9. Russia has the capability to set up the infrastructure for a longer war, but it’s going to take time.

10. Russia’s failure to quickly achieve it’s objectives has seen it resort to more desperate and indiscriminate tactics.

And here’s a related Twitter thread that touches on rail network logistic issues:

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]


Onward and upward,
airforce

Last edited by airforce; 03/07/2022 12:44 PM.
Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177679
03/07/2022 01:31 PM
03/07/2022 01:31 PM
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I’d suspect that if the Ukrainians can maintain their independence and repelling this invasion, that in addition to using the reparations that Russia will pay to rebuild what they destroyed… they will be redoing their rail infrastructure away from the wider “Russian gauge” to the “standard gauge” that Western Europe uses. This would aid integration into the west, and have the added plus of make it more difficult for invading armies from the east to use their own infrastructure against them.


"Government at its best is a necessary evil, and at its worst, an intolerable one."
 Thomas Paine (from "Common Sense" 1776)
Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177680
03/07/2022 02:41 PM
03/07/2022 02:41 PM
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Russian invasion a total disaster, says whistleblower analyst. But like war news in general, take this with a full package of Morton's.

Quote
Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine will be a ‘total failure’ comparable to the collapse of Nazi Germany, a report by a so-called FSB analyst has claimed.

The over 2,000-word report added that Russia’s forces have ‘no options to victory, only defeat’ as they continue to meet strong Ukrainian resistance, that experts believe has surprised many in Moscow including the president himself.

It said that the number of Russians killed in Ukraine could already be over 10,000 – a figure similar to that reported by Kyiv officials – and far more than the 498 dead soldiers officially acknowledged by the Kremlin.

The whistleblower also claimed the FSB – Russia’s successor to the Soviet Union’s feared KGB – was being blamed for the failure of Moscow’s forces to make significant progress into Ukraine, despite being given no advanced warning of the invasion.

The report also said Russia’s government has lost contact with a number of its divisions that have been sent into Ukraine, meaning they had no accurate death toll.

Russian human rights activist and operator of the anti-corruption website Gulagu.net Vladimir Osechkin published the report on Facebook last week.

Christo Grozev, an expert on Russia’s security services who works for investigative journalism group Bellingcat, said he has shown the report two current or former FSB contacts who told him they had ‘no doubt it was written by a colleague’.

Writing on Twitter, Grozev said that while his contacts did not necessarily agree with all the assertions in the report, they were confident in its origin.

Giving hope to the people of Ukraine in the face of devastating attacks by Russian forces, the report said that Putin’s chances of victory in Ukraine are non-existent.

‘By and large, [Russia] has no way out. It’s just that there is no option for a possible victory, and defeat is everything,’ the report said.

It compared Russia’s mistakes to those made by Nazi Germany at the end of the Second World War, and said that Moscow’s ‘starting position’ was akin to ‘Germany in 1943-44’ – when Hitler’s chances of victory were collapsing on two fronts.

The whistleblower claimed that FSB officers have been ordered to assess the effects Western sanctions are having on Russia. The ruble has all-but collapsed and Russia has become an international pariah.

But despite the very real economic devastation, the report said officers were told that it was a hypothetical box-ticking exercise.

‘You have to write the analysis in a way that makes Russia the victor… otherwise you get questioned for not doing good work,’ the report says. ‘Suddenly it happens and everything comes down to your completely groundless analysis.’

The letter, published in the early hours of Friday morning, also says that Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov – who is usually a staunch ally of Putin’s – is furious with Moscow after his ‘kill squad’ sent to assassinate Ukraine’s president Volodymyr Zelensky was instead destroyed by Ukrainian troops.

Zelensky is said to be Putin’s No. 1 target, but even if the Russian president was successful in killing his Ukrainian counterpart, the report says that Moscow would still be unable to occupy Ukraine.

‘Even with minimum resistance from the Ukrainians we’d need over 500,000 people, not including supply and logistics workers,’ the author claims.

The author also addressed the likelihood of Putin launching a nuclear strike against the West, saying it was a possibility.

They also wrote that Russia’s foreign intelligence service, the SVR, was trying to find evidence that Ukraine had built nuclear weapons to justify a pre-emptive strike.

‘Is there a possibility of a local nuclear strike? Yes. Not for military purposes (it will not give anything – this is a defense breakthrough weapon), but with the aim of intimidating others,’ they wrote.

‘At the same time, the soil is being prepared to turn everything to Ukraine – Naryshkin and his SVR are now digging the earth to prove that they secretly created nuclear weapons there.’

But despite saying there was a possibility of such a horrific event, the author added: ‘From the cynical, I will only add that I do not believe that VV Putin will press the red button to destroy the whole world.

‘Firstly, there is more than one person making a decision, at least someone will jump off. And there are a lot of people there – there is no ‘one-man red button,’ they wrote.

‘Secondly, there are some doubts that everything is functioning [in Russia’s nuclear deterrent],’ they added, continuing: ‘Thirdly, and this is the most vile and sad thing, I personally do not believe in the readiness to sacrifice oneself of a person who does not let the members of the Federation Council, but his closest representatives and ministers, come close to him.

‘For fear of the coronavirus or an attack, it doesn’t matter. If you are afraid to let the most trusted people near you, then how will you dare to destroy yourself and your loved ones.’

Amid concerns that Russia could put some of Ukraine’s cities such as the capital of Kyiv under siege, the author of the report said this was unlikely.

‘Keep under siege? According to the experience of military conflicts in the same Europe in recent decades (Serbia is the largest testing ground here), cities can be under siege for years, and even function,’ they wrote.

‘Humanitarian convoys from Europe [will be there in a] matter of time,’ they added.


Onward and upward,
airforce

Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177689
03/08/2022 12:37 PM
03/08/2022 12:37 PM
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"The time for war has not yet come, but it will come and that soon, and when it does come, my advice is to draw the sword and throw away the scabbard." Gen. T.J. Jackson, March 1861
Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177692
03/08/2022 02:24 PM
03/08/2022 02:24 PM
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Can Ukraine actually win this? BattleSwarm Blog always seems to have the best analysis of this war. Warning for adult (or, as I prefer, juvenile) language, and a long ad embedded in it. And as always, take any war reporting you see with an ocean of salt.



Onward and upward,
airforce

Last edited by airforce; 03/08/2022 02:37 PM.
Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177700
03/09/2022 01:20 PM
03/09/2022 01:20 PM
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Would Putin really nuke Ukraine cities? Privately, some Kremlin officials say a desperate Putin just might. And with a cold wave coming, temps are forecast to be as low as -20C, or -4F. With Russian logistics already broken, that is not likely to help.

Quote
Kremlin officials are ‘privately denouncing’ Vladimir Putin’s ‘clusterf**k’ invasion as US officials warned that the isolated Russian despot could lash out in anger at Ukraine’s fierce resistance by using small nuclear weapons on some of its cities.

Russian journalist Farida Rustamova, who was well-connected in government circles before fleeing the country as the Kremlin launched a sweeping crackdown on dissent, has claimed that officials in Moscow never believed that Putin would go to war.
They are now allegedly making ‘apocalyptic’ forecasts about the weeks and months ahead as fighting grinds on and punitive sanctions bite.


When asked how Russian politicians were reacting to the crisis, one source told Rustamova: ‘They’re carefully enunciating the word clusterf**k. No one is rejoicing. Many understand that this is a mistake, but in the course of doing their duty they come up with explanations in order to somehow come to terms with it.’

Kyiv estimates that 12,000 Russians have now died fighting and while that number cannot be verified, casualties are almost certainly higher than Putin bargained for when he gave the order to attack 13 days ago. Captured soldiers have complained of a lack of food, fuel, and overall battle plan – with conditions set to get worse in the coming days.

A pronounced cold snap will see temperatures drop to -10C overnight in the middle of the week around Kyiv and Kharkiv – down to -20C when wind chill is taken into account – with many Russian soldiers stuck outdoors in a 40-mile column of stalled vehicles near the Ukrainian capital.


US intelligence chiefs on Tuesday branded Putin an ‘angry’, isolated leader grappling for global clout, frustrated about how his Ukraine invasion has not gone to plan, and lobbing provocative nuclear threats at the West. Some have even privately expressed concern that, in a worst-case scenario, he might order deployment of mini-nukes on a city.

CIA Director William Burns told US lawmakers that Putin is now likely to ‘double down and try to grind down the Ukrainian military with no regard for civilian casualties’. At a congressional hearing on global threats, he said the despot has been ‘stewing in a combustible combination of grievance and ambition for many years’ and regarded the invasion of Ukraine a matter of ‘deep personal conviction’ for Putin.

‘I think Putin is angry and frustrated right now. He’s likely to double down and try to grind down the Ukrainian military with no regard for civilian casualties,’ Burns said....


Read the whole thing, including photos and videos, at the link.

Onward and upward,
airforce

Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177701
03/09/2022 03:43 PM
03/09/2022 03:43 PM
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As in all wars, things are not as bad as one side claims nor as good as claimed by the other. Putin may do as Russia did during WWll...keep pouring men and equipment into the meat grinder until he eventually overwhelms the enemy. Much of the blame for this conflict rests solidly at the feet of the Obama/Biden/Clinton regime who provoked Putin at every turn signs 2008. Ukraine is just a pawn used by US in the war against Russia.


"The time for war has not yet come, but it will come and that soon, and when it does come, my advice is to draw the sword and throw away the scabbard." Gen. T.J. Jackson, March 1861
Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177702
03/09/2022 05:09 PM
03/09/2022 05:09 PM
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For sure, you have to take any news coming from a war zone with a can of Morton's. But one wonders just how long Putin can keep pouring men and materiel into Ukraine before the generals say, "Enough."

Onward and upward,
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Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177703
03/09/2022 09:58 PM
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We need to stop aiding Ukraine before it starts WW3. If Russia was aiding Mexico in a war with the US we would not like it either.


www.TexasMilitia.Info Seek out and join a lawful Militia or form one in your area. If you wish to remain Free you will have to fight for it...because the traitors will give us no choice in the matter--William Cooper
Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177723
03/12/2022 12:56 PM
03/12/2022 12:56 PM
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Could Putin attack Great Britain in a conventional war? Yes, says Mark Felton.



Onward and upward,
airforce

Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177724
03/12/2022 05:18 PM
03/12/2022 05:18 PM
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Do not be deceived the globalists plan to depopulate the planet's 6-7 billion people to a manageable level of between 500 million and 2 billion through nuclear war.

Biden being allowed to steal the election shows that the globalists are in control of the United States and they want to destroy us.

Dig a fallout shelter while you still can. 3 feet of dirt stops radiation. I built a crawl in 2 person fallout shelter with a shovel, a pick axe, pressure treated for ground contact 4"x4"x8' fence posts for cross bracing and vertical supports, 2 sheets of 4'x8' pressure treated 3/4" plywood. Because I could not find plywood rated for ground contact I also used 25' wide 6mil plastic construction sheathing. I placed the 2 sheets of plywood in an "L" shape to make a right angel crawl in tunnel to stop radiation from coming in the entrance.

Get: Nuclear War Survival Skills Paperback by Cresson H Kearny https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1603220941/ref=dbs_a_def_rwt_bibl_vppi_i2
or download it for free on the internet and print it out.
https://link.us1.storjshare.io/s/ju...f_file_harris1234_dot_com.pdf?download=1
-----------------------------------------

"Steve Quayle tells Mike Adams: Globalists want to achieve the extermination of the human race through nuclear war"
03/11/2022 / By Kevin Hughes
https://populationcollapse.com/2022-03-11-globalists-want-termination-human-race-nuclear-war.html

The Health Ranger Mike Adams and well-known author Steve Quayle discussed the possibility of nuclear war due to the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, which could bring about the death of billions of people.

“The globalists want one thing and this is the termination and the annihilation of the human race. The globalists are now planning, plotting, scheming to try and get the global population to go along with their own demise,” Quayle told Adams during a recent of episode of “Brighteon Conversations.”

The host and Brighteon.com founder agreed, noting that the vaccine extermination agenda has failed. However, Adams still thinks one to two billion people will die over the next decade from cancers, heart attacks and other diseases caused by the Wuhan coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccines.

“It’s a vaccine holocaust. It’s genocide, but it’s nowhere near the goal that you just mentioned, where they want to kill off 7.4 billion people or something in that range. So they have to shift to the next global weapon system. And notice how fast they moved from COVID to World War,” said Adams, who called that particular edition of his program a “red alert episode.”

Adams mentioned the ongoing deception and propaganda, as well as the Democrats and Leftists calling for a nuclear war and the survival of human civilization.

Quayle, meanwhile, said that people need to understand that the world would be near extinction level with the threat of a nuclear war. He noted that Russia only wanted a guarantee of its 1991 agreement with the U.S. and NATO that they would not expand and put weapons near its territory.

The Health Ranger added that they are talking about the rogue governments, the cartels, the globalists and the fascists who have occupied the nations such as Russia, Ukraine, America, Canada, among others, and who are now bringing destruction to humanity.
People calling for a nuclear war have Cold War mentality

Quayle, who is also a historian and radio host, pointed out that the people who are calling for nuclear war, especially in the West, have a Cold War mentality.

“In the Ukraine, the people are wonderful. People everywhere are wonderful. It’s just the bloody governments and, in this case, the globalists that want to destroy all nations, all boundaries, all cultures and all historic references to the past,” he said.

We’re watching the global chaos that’s necessary to bring about the New World Order, which is nothing more than the old world order with Lucifer in the presence of Antichrist ruling and reigning on the planet and destroying humanity as fast as he can, wherever he can,” said Quayle, who had written books on nuclear war based on the Cold War and civil defense.

Quayle also emphasized that America cannot wage war on the basis of a lack of understanding of the enemy’s firepower and their technical developments, such as hyper-developments and hyper-dimensional physics that include hypersonic missiles, electromagnetic warfare weapons and 100-megaton nuclear torpedoes. (Related: Ben Armstrong warns Biden administration: Acting tough now against Russia could put the world on the brink of a nuclear war.)

The book author and radio host said the Department of Defense lags behind in all areas of hypersonic weapons development, electromagnetic weapon development and weather modification and control. He mentioned that there are four “Black Hole” submarines or Russian Kilo-Class subs off the America’s east coast, adding that a submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) could hit its target such as Washington D.C. or New York City in under a minute.


www.TexasMilitia.Info Seek out and join a lawful Militia or form one in your area. If you wish to remain Free you will have to fight for it...because the traitors will give us no choice in the matter--William Cooper
Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177725
03/12/2022 05:51 PM
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"World War III Just Got A Lot Closer: Russia Announces Plan to Bomb NATO Convoys Entering Ukraine — Live Emergency Broadcast! Infowars.com"
March 12th 2022, 2:06 pm
"For once, Joe Biden is telling the truth and warning the world that we are on the edge of "nuclear World War III" but left-wing and right-wing chicken hawks in the US, UK, and EU are demanding more heavy weapons be sent to expanding black hole."
https://www.infowars.com/posts/worl...tering-ukraine-live-emergency-broadcast/


www.TexasMilitia.Info Seek out and join a lawful Militia or form one in your area. If you wish to remain Free you will have to fight for it...because the traitors will give us no choice in the matter--William Cooper
Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177726
03/13/2022 12:17 PM
03/13/2022 12:17 PM
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A Russian convoy is ambushed in Skybyn, outside Kyiv.

https://fb.watch/bJTSon2PLK/

Onward and upward,
airforce

Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177728
03/13/2022 03:26 PM
03/13/2022 03:26 PM
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Here is a better version of that action with commentary and battlefield details added…

link to Rumble video clip.


"Government at its best is a necessary evil, and at its worst, an intolerable one."
 Thomas Paine (from "Common Sense" 1776)
Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177729
03/13/2022 04:11 PM
03/13/2022 04:11 PM
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Thanks, it is a little clearer. But I still can't to get it to embed.

Onward and upward,
airforce

Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177735
03/14/2022 12:46 PM
03/14/2022 12:46 PM
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Is this story true? Who knows. But U.S. officials are saying Russia is asking China for military aid, because the war is taking its toll on military weapons and supplies. Personally, I'd inclined to take this story with a case of Morton's, but more than one news source is now reporting it.

Quote
Russia has asked China for military aid to support its invasion of Ukraine, according to US officials. US officials told the Financial Times that it is suspected Russia may be running out of weaponry as the war enters its third week.

This news comes as Jake Sullivan, US national security advisor, plans to meet in Rome for talks on Monday with Yang Jiechi, China's top foreign policy official.

Prior to departing for Italy over the weekend, Sullivan warned China not to "bail out" Russia by helping Moscow get around current sanctions that the US and its allies have imposed on Russian President Vladimir Putin.

"We will ensure that neither China, nor anyone else, can compensate Russia for these losses," Sullivan told NBC on Sunday. "In terms of the specific means of doing that, again, I’m not going to lay all of that out in public, but we will communicate that privately to China, as we have already done and will continue to do."


Lately, there has been some level of concern regarding China's growing relationship with Russia. Despite being officially "neutral" on the Ukraine invasion, Beijing-Moscow jointly said their relationship has "no limits."

Chinese officials also reportedly told senior Russian officials in early February to hold off on invading Ukraine until after the conclusion of the 2022 Winter Olympics in Beijing, which concluded on Feb. 20.


Onward and upward,
airforce

Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177736
03/14/2022 01:58 PM
03/14/2022 01:58 PM
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You’re the Insurgent Now

Former service members volunteering to fight the Russians in Ukraine are discovering that war isn’t quite as fun when the other side has air supremacy for a change. This is from a series of Reddit posts purporting to be from a volunteer military veteran in Ukraine:

Yes, I was here today and blown off the top bunk of my bunk bed in the barracks by the first missile. This is where all the foreign legion troops are, the 35 killed were all Ukrainian mostly due to a direct hit on their barracks next to mine. The base is destroyed, the weapons depot destroyed, possibly the end of the legion. About 60 people with their heads on straight including myself left after the attack. They’re sending untrained guys to the front with little ammo and shit AKs and they’re getting killed. The guys who stayed got bombed again in the afternoon and casualties aren’t clear. If you still want to to join them I’m not sure what the process will be since literally all the infrastructure supporting the training/assignments of volunteers is all destroyed. The guys who are there now will all be going to Kyiv and many will die, the legion is totally outgunned and has a few crazy Ukrainian leaders. After the attack one officer wanted to march everyone to Kyiv and fight. Absolute insanity. Stay home.

I didn’t go to Ukraine for the clout. I asked the right questions, deleted my posts, actually bought a plane ticket and brought my ass over. I said in another comment that yes it was 35 Ukrainians killed because their barracks got directly hit. The 180 bullshit is real Russian propaganda. If you think I’m a Russian agent you’re just in denial that the situation is absolutely fucked. Go ahead and join the legion, by all means, but be very aware of how bad Kyiv is going to get and be aware that Russians have warplanes and you will have next to nothing. Be very acceptant of the possibility of death. Those of us who left, including SF operators from multiple countries, are simply risk mitigating. No one wants to die in an unfair fight, and after getting absolutely fucking pummeled by massive cruise missiles today – yeah I kind of want people to think twice before turning their life upside down to go and volunteer.

Like a lot of dudes there have experience and really wanted to shape the battlefield and impact their advance, but ultimately they’re manning frontline positions that are going to get hammered with artillery and airstrikes, buried under rubble and your family never gets your body. That’s when a lot of guys say yeah this isn’t our fight, not like this.

Such are the perils of believing the globalist propaganda factory. These Western volunteers thought they were going to be going on patrols and hunting Russians in the same way they hunted jihadis in Afghanistan and Iraq. A dangerous sport, to be sure, but an activity that is more sport than war nonetheless. But, as they quickly discovered not long after their arrival, they’re not up against an ill-equipped, irregular 4GW insurgency, they’re up against one of the three most formidable professional militaries in the world.

Russia deliberately blew up foreign fighters and arms shipments at a Ukrainian base close to the Polish border on Sunday and has vowed to carry out more strikes in a direct warning to the West. Igor Konashenkov, a spokesman for Russia’s ministry of defence, said the base at Yavoriv – 12 miles from NATO territory – was struck by ‘long-range, high-precision’ weapons because it was hosting ‘foreign mercenaries and a large shipment of foreign weapons’. He added: ‘The destruction of foreign mercenaries who arrived on the territory of Ukraine will continue.’
Putin deliberately targeted Ukraine’s ‘foreign legion’ with strike 12 miles from NATO border, Daily Mail, 14 March 2022

The effectiveness of the Russians can be seen in the way they have effectively destroyed the entire Ukrainian foreign legion with a single missile strike without it ever even having the chance to enter the battle space.

Here's a much longer piece on the subject

https://palaceintrigueblog.com/2022/03/ ... awakening/


"The time for war has not yet come, but it will come and that soon, and when it does come, my advice is to draw the sword and throw away the scabbard." Gen. T.J. Jackson, March 1861
Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177737
03/14/2022 04:04 PM
03/14/2022 04:04 PM
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Here's drone footage of an NLAW knocking out a Russian tank at point blank range. It takes balls to go up against an armored convoy at this close range.



NOTE: You have to watch it on YouTube, because it's age-restricted.

Onward and upward,
airforce

Last edited by airforce; 03/14/2022 04:06 PM.
Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177745
03/15/2022 12:10 PM
03/15/2022 12:10 PM
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if Ukraine can hold until May, the Russian Army will collapse. I think this is very probably true, but May is a long time away.

Quote
The war in Ukraine is likely to be over by early May when Russia runs out of resources to attack its neighbour, Oleksiy Arestovich, an adviser to the Ukrainian president's chief of staff, said late on Monday.

Talks between Kyiv and Moscow - in which Arestovich is not personally involved - have so far produced very few results other than several humanitarian corridors out of besieged Ukrainian cities.

In a video published by several Ukrainian media, Arestovich said the exact timing would depend on how much resources the Kremlin was willing to commit to the campaign.

"I think that no later than in May, early May, we should have a peace agreement, maybe much earlier, we will see, I am talking about the latest possible dates," Arestovich said.

"We are at a fork in the road now: there will either be a peace deal struck very quickly, within a week or two, with troop withdrawal and everything, or there will be an attempt to scrape together some, say, Syrians for a round two and, when we grind them too, an agreement by mid-April or late April."

A "completely crazy" scenario could also involve Russia sending fresh conscripts after a month of training, he said.

Still, even once peace is agreed, small tactical clashes could remain possible for a year, according to Arestovich, although Ukraine insists on the complete removal of Russian troops from its territory.

The war in Ukraine began on Feb. 24 when Russian President Vladimir Putin launched what he called a "special military operation," the biggest attack on a European state since World War Two. read more


Onward and upward,
airforce

Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177748
03/15/2022 01:01 PM
03/15/2022 01:01 PM
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Airforce, you left out the headline in the page you linked to: "War could be over by May, says Ukrainian presidential adviser" You can't believe the Ukrainians. That is just wishful thinking. The globalists want to start WW3.

The Ukrainian Military needs to quit hiding in among the civilians hoping to get civilians killed to make the Russians look bad. The Russians need to advance with their infantry in the lead not their tanks before all their tanks are taken out with anti-tank rockets.

Excerpt from: https://www.naturalnews.com/2022-03...carcity-crisis-global-depopulation.html#
"Biden and NATO don’t want peace in Ukraine. They need a world war in order to pick up their depopulation agenda that didn’t achieve the extermination milestones they had hoped to achieve with covid vaccines.

The covid plandemic was launched in order to achieve two key things: 1) Rapid expansion of authoritarianism by terrorizing the population with covid fear, and 2) Global depopulation / extermination through covid vaccines which are actually gene-altering infertility jabs and “clot shots.” These jabs also alter human DNA and result in gradual cancer deaths over a decade. (You will see huge spikes in cancer deaths for 2021 and 2022 once the numbers are officially reported.)

Financial analyst Edward Dowd, who works with statisticians that are analyzing CDC data, has concluded there are so far 1.1 million excess deaths in the United States since the vaccine push began. Even 1-2 billion deaths from the vaccine isn’t enough for the satanic globalists

Unfortunately for the globalists, the vaccine extermination agenda failed to achieve their depopulation milestones. Although 1-2 billion people will likely die from mRNA vaccines over the next decade (from heart attacks, strokes, blood clots, etc.), this is nowhere near the 7+ billion deaths that the depopulation globalists are trying to achieve.

In order to achieve the much larger die-off they desire, globalists need to decimate the global supply chain that provides food and energy to the world. These are also interrelated since energy (in the form of natural gas) creates nitrogen-based fertilizer that’s used to produce food. In addition, energy is a critical farm input in the form of diesel fuel that powers tractors and transportation trucks...


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Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Texas Resistance] #177749
03/15/2022 01:38 PM
03/15/2022 01:38 PM
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Originally Posted by Texas Resistance
Airforce, you left out the headline in the page you linked to: "War could be over by May, says Ukrainian presidential adviser" You can't believe the Ukrainians. That is just wishful thinking....


When the war started, I didn't think the Ukrainians could last 10 days. We're twice that now, the Russians have taken heavy losses, and they still don't have Kiev, or Mariupol, or Lviv, or most other major cities. The Russian plan seems to be to turn these cities to rubble - but rubbleized cities make them harder to occupy (see Stalingrad and Monte Cassino, among others). So yes, it certainly is not out of the realm of possibility the Ukrainians could hold out until May.

Onward and upward,
airforce

Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177750
03/15/2022 01:55 PM
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Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges: Russian army could collapse within days. This is worth noting, but with a caveat. Take any news about war with a pallet full of Morton's.

Quote
Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges told Fox News on Monday that he believes Russian military forces are just days away from not being able to continue to their war against Ukraine.

“The Russians went after his [Fmr. Amb. to NATO Kurt Volker’s] training center in Yavoriv, outside the city of Lviv, partly to demonstrate that they could reach the lines of communication that bring supplies and support from Poland into Ukraine,” he said. “But also I think to maybe go after the logistics buildup that’s happening there. I don’t think we should overreact to this.”

“The Russians, I think, are about ten days away from what is called the culminating point, when they just no longer have the ammunition nor the manpower to keep up their assault,” he said. “I think we keep pouring it on, and the Russians culminate.”


Hodges’ remarks come after Russian military forces have faced significantly stiffer resistance from Ukrainian forces. Both sides have seen thousands of casualties thus far in the war and numerous cities have experienced severe damage.

As The Daily Wire previous reported, some have warned that the war could escalate.

A retired Navy captain and former intelligence officer warned during an interview this week with Fox News that the war in Europe between Russia and Ukraine could quickly escalate into a much larger war if Russia conducts a false flag operation.

“I think there is still risk of more expansionism,” Steven Horrell told the network. “There’s a risk of something sparking an escalation, some sort of incident on the high seas, or in international airspace, or a fabricated incident for some sort of cross-border thing that could lead to further escalation.”

The remarks come after the war entered its third week following Russian President Vladimir Putin giving the order for the invasion late last month.

“I think Russia has for some time held the opinion that the West, the U.S. [and] NATO, have a very low tolerance for cost and for pain,” Horrell said. “And, conversely, that Russia has a much higher cost acceptance.”

He said that Russia has a strategy of “escalate to deescalate,” which could mean that the war is about to get significantly worse as Russia tries to gain leverage for a more favorable outcome.


“A ship in the Black Sea with a Kalibr land attack cruise missile could reach Berlin,” Horrell told Fox News. “If they viewed one of the European capitals as being a weakness in NATO, they could do that sort of escalation, non-nuclear, but they could strike outside the immediate theater of conflict and start hitting NATO targets.”

He said that Russia miscalculated its ability to take over Ukraine because “the decision-makers in the Kremlin truly believed some of their own press reports and expected a quick and hasty victory,” Horrell said. “There are no indications of more forces reinforcing the current force commitment from Russia to Ukraine. Frankly, I don’t know how many more cards in that regard there are to play.”


Onward and upward,
airforce

Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177757
03/16/2022 12:16 PM
03/16/2022 12:16 PM
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Germany reverses itself, will buy F-35's after all. It turns out that Putin is better at strengthening NATO than Trump was.

Quote
...Previously, “Berlin had not only taken a strong political stance against F-35 and sacked the former head of the Luftwaffe for publicly supporting its acquisition, but had also previously refused to engage with practical discussions of any kind around the operational delivery of the DCA [dual capable aircraft] mission,” he said. “This is a clear sign that all that has now changed.”

The news was cause for celebration for Lockheed Martin, as the F-35 has now won every fighter contest it had entered, with Germany previously standing alone as the sole holdout.

“We are proud of the confidence the German Federal Ministry of Defense and Luftwaffe officials have shown in choosing the F-35,” the company said in a statement. “Lockheed Martin values our strong partnership and history with the German Air Force and looks forward to continuing that partnership.”


Onward and upward,
airforce

Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177764
03/16/2022 04:25 PM
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We'll be hearing more about this. It's really Putin's only endgame now.

[Linked Image]

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airforce

Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177765
03/16/2022 05:07 PM
03/16/2022 05:07 PM
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What the Russians don’t seem to get, is the fact that having neighbors like Russia is exactly the reason why nations need Allies in the first place! For a nation with rich resources that sits on a major crossroads as they do that is also a flat open plain devoid of any natural barriers… is suicidal. When the largest border they have is shared with a MUCH larger nation with an even larger military force that has expansionist aspersions… to accept neutrality is suicidal.

Only way they could accept this would be if they were given BACK a nuclear Arsenal which they were deceived into surrendering in 1994 with the understanding that their borders would be forever respected, and that the western powers would guarantee this.

If they had a medium range nuclear arsenal, then any “hypothetical” threat would have to think long and hard before trying to invade.


"Government at its best is a necessary evil, and at its worst, an intolerable one."
 Thomas Paine (from "Common Sense" 1776)
Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177766
03/16/2022 05:13 PM
03/16/2022 05:13 PM
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The Ukrainians don't have any nukes but Putin might have the balls to start using tactical nukes on Ukrainian cities (maybe neutron tactical nukes on Ukrainian cities) and tell NATO he will nuke them all back into the stone age with his hyper-sonic nuclear missiles if they interfere.

We need stop to aiding Ukraine and stay out of their civil war no matter how many millions of dollars Ukraine kicked back the sorry damn Bidens.

"Russian submarine with 160 nukes on board surfaces off US coast"
https://english.pravda.ru/news/world/150057-russian_submarine


www.TexasMilitia.Info Seek out and join a lawful Militia or form one in your area. If you wish to remain Free you will have to fight for it...because the traitors will give us no choice in the matter--William Cooper
Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177767
03/16/2022 05:41 PM
03/16/2022 05:41 PM
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Switzerland's neutrality worked well, but that's because their terrain pretty much prohibits any attack, they're citizenry is well armed, and they're the world's bank. Even Hitler wouldn't screw with Switzerland.

Unfortunately, Ukraine doesn't have those advantages. I don't know how a vague promise of neutrality would work, unless they were given back their nukes.

Onward and upward,
airforce

Last edited by airforce; 03/16/2022 08:04 PM.
Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177768
03/16/2022 07:12 PM
03/16/2022 07:12 PM
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Switzerland is also the money laundering capitol of the world. They still hold billions in Jewish wealth confiscated during WWll. They even hold Hitler's fortune and refuse to give it to his living relatives.


"The time for war has not yet come, but it will come and that soon, and when it does come, my advice is to draw the sword and throw away the scabbard." Gen. T.J. Jackson, March 1861
Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177769
03/16/2022 09:04 PM
03/16/2022 09:04 PM
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Ukraine is not going to have any nukes. It would be like if Russia had nuclear missiles and bio-weapons labs in Mexico to threaten us with.

Here: https://www.infowars.com/posts/reti...or-putins-goal-in-ukraine-almost-reached
Former US Army Colonel Douglas Macgregor said, "The Ukrainian military is only capable of small, “pinprick” attacks on insignificant objects, he claimed, saying, “So, the war, for all intents and purposes, has been decided.” Macgregor bluntly explained the reality of the situation is that the remaining Ukrainian units have been isolated and are surrounded in various settlements.

The issue for the Russians, Macgregor noted, is how to make military progress with limited civilian deaths and property damage. “Putin gave very strict orders from the outset that they were to avoid these things,” he explained. “The problem with avoiding it is that it has slowed the progress of the operation to the point that it has given false hope to both to the Ukrainians, but has been seized on by people in the West to try and convince the world that a defeat is in progress when in fact the opposite is the case.”

Continuing, Macgregor said Putin could quickly achieve victory if he were to disregard civilian life and unleash his full military force on Ukraine, but continues to choose the more difficult and peaceful path. The retired colonel thinks Washington is trying to drag out the conflict as long as possible by interfering with Ukrainian officials’ negotiations with Russia so they have time to work on their next move.


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Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177771
03/17/2022 12:55 AM
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Never underestimate the Russian capability. That was a fatal mistake made by Napoleon and Hitler. Putin has not put the full weight into this conflict...yet. He has not committed his elite forces nor his best equipment. The bombing campaign has been limited up till now. He is committed to this fight and will not back down. If pushed to far he will rain fire down on Europe.


"The time for war has not yet come, but it will come and that soon, and when it does come, my advice is to draw the sword and throw away the scabbard." Gen. T.J. Jackson, March 1861
Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177774
03/17/2022 11:15 AM
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Putin has already lost. His generals know it, his deputies in the Kremlin know it, and even his own people are slowly becoming aware of it. Even if Zelensky surrenders today, he has lost.

Putin is an international pariah. His economy is toast. He took over the poorest country in Europe, an area the size of Texas, which is in ruins and is full of people who hate him. And he actually managed to make NATO stronger. That is not a win.

If I were Putin, I wouldn't be getting a lot of sleep these days.

Onward and upward,
airforce

Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177776
03/17/2022 01:07 PM
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I think Airforce believes the fake controlled major news media. I knew better than to take the clot shot. There is no way Ukraine can win their civil war against the Russians even though that sorry damn senile puppet Biden is giving Ukraine $13.6 billion (source: https://www.infowars.com/posts/video-biden-calls-putin-war-criminal-kremlin-responds ) that US tax payers will have to pay plus interest. At least Putin hates faggots instead of giving the faggots in the US Military a sex mutilation operation and female hormones at US tax payer expense like Biden is.


www.TexasMilitia.Info Seek out and join a lawful Militia or form one in your area. If you wish to remain Free you will have to fight for it...because the traitors will give us no choice in the matter--William Cooper
Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177777
03/17/2022 01:43 PM
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Of course, Putin could beat Ukraine. If he wanted to, he could turn Ukraine into a radioactive slag heap. But what would he gain by it?

You can't defeat a people that refuses to be defeated. See Afghanistan.

Onward and upward,
airforce

Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177778
03/17/2022 03:17 PM
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Where is the Russian Air Force? And why aren't they using more precision guided bombs?

Maybe because they're running low on precision bombs, or they're saving them for something else. And because Ukrainian SAM's are still a problem. And because Russian pilots lack training, and are unable to conduct complex air operations.

Too long to post here, but the article - and accompanying videos - are well worth a read.

Onward and upward,
airforce

Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177780
03/17/2022 09:55 PM
03/17/2022 09:55 PM
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No matter who "wins", this war will cause a global famine which will ensure more chaos on a massive scale. This is just the opening salvo of the war to come.

If the entire western world turns on Putin he still has allies who will stick by him who could make life very difficult for the west. And, if push comes to shove and he's backed into a corner, he still retains the nuclear option.


"The time for war has not yet come, but it will come and that soon, and when it does come, my advice is to draw the sword and throw away the scabbard." Gen. T.J. Jackson, March 1861
Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177783
03/18/2022 12:08 PM
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In a phone call to Turkish President Erdogan, Putin expressed his demands for a peace deal with Ukraine.

Quote
...The Russian demands fall into two categories.

The first four demands are, according to Mr Kalin, not too difficult for Ukraine to meet.

Chief among them is an acceptance by Ukraine that it should be neutral and should not apply to join Nato. Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky has already conceded this.

There are other demands in this category which mostly seem to be face-saving elements for the Russian side.

Ukraine would have to undergo a disarmament process to ensure it wasn't a threat to Russia. There would have to be protection for the Russian language in Ukraine. And there is something called de-Nazification.

This is deeply offensive to Mr Zelensky, who is himself Jewish and some of whose relatives died in the Holocaust, but the Turkish side believes it will be easy enough for Mr Zelensky to accept. Perhaps it will be enough for Ukraine to condemn all forms of neo-Nazism and promise to clamp down on them.

The second category is where the difficulty will lie, and in his phone call, Mr Putin said that it would need face-to-face negotiations between him and President Zelensky before agreement could be reached on these points. Mr Zelensky has already said he's prepared to meet the Russian president and negotiate with him one-to-one.

Mr Kalin was much less specific about these issues, saying simply that they involved the status of Donbas, in eastern Ukraine, parts of which have already broken away from Ukraine and stressed their Russianness, and the status of Crimea.

Although Mr Kalin didn't go into detail, the assumption is that Russia will demand that the Ukrainian government should give up territory in eastern Ukraine. That will be deeply contentious.

The other assumption is that Russia will demand that Ukraine should formally accept that Crimea, which Russia illegally annexed in 2014, does indeed now belong to Russia. If this is the case, it will be a bitter pill for Ukraine to swallow. ...

Still, President Putin's demands are not as harsh as some people feared and they scarcely seem to be worth all the violence, bloodshed and destruction which Russia has visited on Ukraine.

Given his heavy-handed control over the Russian media, it shouldn't be too hard for him and his acolytes to present all this as a major victory....

What about Vladimir Putin himself? There have been suggestions that he is ill, or possibly even mentally unbalanced. Did Mr Kalin detect anything strange about him in the phone call? Not at all, he said. Mr Putin had apparently been clear and concise in everything he said.

Yet even if he does manage to present an agreement with Ukraine as a glorious victory over neo-Nazism, his position at home must be weakened.

More and more people will realise that he overreached himself badly, and stories of the soldiers who have been killed or captured are already spreading fast.


Onward and upward,
airforce

Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177787
03/18/2022 04:13 PM
03/18/2022 04:13 PM
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With what has gone on the last 3 weeks… it would be suicidal to “demilitarize” in any way/shape or form. Putin’s heavy hand is only serving to unite the people of Ukraine like never before, and to make any notion of being in Russian sphere impossible and making the people look west to Europe more than ever.

Putin is like that alcoholic abusive husband who thinks he can kick the $hi+ out of his wife and kids to keep them from leaving. He can’t let them get any notion that THEY are in control of their future, then he has lost his power over them. He needs to “set them straight”, destroy any independent thought and make them dependent and fearful of them.

That’s Putin.


"Government at its best is a necessary evil, and at its worst, an intolerable one."
 Thomas Paine (from "Common Sense" 1776)
Re: Developing Eastern European Crises [Re: Navarro] #177788
03/18/2022 04:54 PM
03/18/2022 04:54 PM
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You are parroting the fake major news medias views that are dictated to them by the globalists who want to destroy the US. Ukraine can unite in loss all they want but it won't help them. Ukraine can't win. Russia will totally destroy Ukraine if they have to.

"NO ESCAPE: Ukrainian authorities are destroying passports and sending foreign mercenaries to suicide missions in Kyiv"
https://www.naturalnews.com/2022-03-18-foreign-mercenaries-sent-to-kyiv-suicide-missions.html#

"MintPress study: NY Times, Washington Post driving U.S. to war with Russia over Ukraine"
https://journalism.news/2022-02-08-nyt-wapost-driving-us-to-war.html#


www.TexasMilitia.Info Seek out and join a lawful Militia or form one in your area. If you wish to remain Free you will have to fight for it...because the traitors will give us no choice in the matter--William Cooper
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